BOJ holds rates at 0.75% for second straight meeting amid Iran war escalation

The Bank of Japan on April 28 kept its benchmark interest rate at 0.75% for the second consecutive meeting, as the war in Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and spiked oil prices. The policy board voted 6-3, signaling potential hawkishness ahead.

This follows the BOJ's March 19 decision to hold rates amid initial Middle East uncertainty, part of a broader pattern among central banks responding to regional tensions affecting oil supplies and global growth.

The BOJ statement highlighted risks from the Middle East conflict, noting Japan's heavy reliance on imported oil—about 20% of global traded oil passes through the now-closed Strait of Hormuz. Gasoline prices have surged, threatening moderate economic growth.

Three dissenting members pushed for tightening, per The Japan Times, amid hawkish signals. Tokyo's Nikkei 225 fell over 1% post-announcement.

This comes as the U.S. Federal Reserve and European central banks hold meetings this week, continuing the series of cautious policies amid geopolitical risks.

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Illustration depicting Tokyo stocks plummeting amid Middle East tensions over Iran and Bank of Japan economic warnings.
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Tokyo stocks fall for third day amid Middle East tensions, economic concerns

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Tokyo stocks declined for a third consecutive day as tensions escalated in the Middle East over Iran. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda warned of significant potential impacts on the economy, while the government stated there would be no immediate disruptions to oil supplies.

The Bank of Japan maintained its policy rate at 0.75% on March 19 amid growing Middle East uncertainty. The decision was widely expected by markets and central bank watchers.

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Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Yoo Sang-dai stated that uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve's rate path has deepened following the latest FOMC decision to hold benchmark rates at 3.5-3.75% for a second consecutive meeting, amid persistent Middle East instability. The BOK will monitor risks closely and act if needed to stabilize markets.

Entering its tenth day on March 9, 2026, the US-Israel-Iran war—already disrupting Middle East supplies as reported earlier—saw Brent oil spike to $120 per barrel amid Iran's 90% traffic cutoff in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump threatens escalated strikes and eases sanctions, while banks eye $150 peaks and G7 holds off on reserves.

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Japan's Q4 2025 GDP was revised upward to 1.3% annualized from the preliminary 0.2% reported on February 16, driven by strong business spending. January household spending on goods and private services held steady despite a year-on-year drop, with contained retail gasoline prices easing inflation. Analysts now expect the Bank of Japan to hold rates in April and hike in June.

Asian equities opened higher, tracking gains in US stocks and Treasuries, as investors overlooked geopolitical tensions. Markets displayed cautious optimism despite worries over oil prices and inflation, with the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision pending. Oil prices held near $103 amid expectations of continued volatility until energy stabilizes.

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Global oil prices are poised for their strongest monthly gain on record, with Brent crude nearing a 60% March surge due to the Iran war. US President Donald Trump indicated he is considering an exit from the conflict despite ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Tanker attacks continue to choke supplies.

 

 

 

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