Iran war drives up mortgage rates in France

Most French banks are raising their mortgage rates for April amid uncertainty from the war in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. French 10-year state bond yields hit nearly 3.90% on Friday, a level unseen since 2009. Philippe Crevel of the Cercle de l’Épargne highlights the close link between these yields and home loan rates.

The war in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz blockade are not only raising fuel prices but also French mortgage rates. Several banks have announced increases to their April rate sheets, averaging 0.10 percentage point and up to 0.30 point for one lender.

On Friday, the French 10-year OAT yield climbed to nearly 3.90%, a high last seen during the 2009 subprime crisis. This rise in long-term rates directly affects consumer loans. “The two are extremely linked,” said Philippe Crevel, director of the Cercle de l’Épargne.

Banks are adjusting their offerings amid economic and political uncertainty. This uptick complicates home-buying plans for French households, as lenders typically release rate sheets in a staggered manner.

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A crowded French gas station with long lines of cars and a prominent fuel price sign showing record highs due to the Middle East crisis.
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Fuel prices hit new high in France amid Middle East crisis

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Gasoline prices reached their highest level since the start of the Middle East conflict on Wednesday, May 6. The average price of super unleaded 95 stood at 2.03 euros per liter. The increase stems from the war and the paralysis of the Strait of Hormuz.

Global financial markets reacted on Monday to renewed surges in oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continuing the economic ripple effects first seen after the Iran conflict and Hormuz blockade earlier this year.

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Rising credit rates are slowing real estate transactions in France in the first half of 2026. Sales fell notably in March and April.

Oil prices reached a four-week high on Tuesday amid renewed US-Iran clashes in the Strait of Hormuz. The United States reinstated a naval blockade of Iran and carried out strikes for a third night. Two United Arab Emirates tankers were hit by Iranian missiles.

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