4月28日，日本央行将基准利率维持在0.75%，这是该行连续第二次会议维持利率不变。此前，伊朗战事导致霍尔木兹海峡关闭，引发油价飙升。政策委员会以6比3的投票结果通过此项决定，显示出未来可能采取鹰派立场。
此前，日本央行曾在3月19日因中东局势初步不明朗而决定维持利率不变。这是各国央行应对地区紧张局势影响石油供应及全球经济增长趋势的一部分。
日本央行在声明中强调了中东冲突带来的风险，并指出日本对进口石油的严重依赖——全球贸易石油中约20%需通过目前已关闭的霍尔木兹海峡。汽油价格的飙升正威胁到温和的经济增长。
据《日本时报》报道，尽管有鹰派信号，但仍有三名持异议的成员推动收紧政策。消息公布后，东京日经225指数下跌超过1%。
此次利率决策正值美国联邦储备委员会和欧洲各央行本周召开会议之际，各方在面临地缘政治风险时延续了谨慎的政策立场。
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Tokyo stocks declined for a third consecutive day as tensions escalated in the Middle East over Iran. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda warned of significant potential impacts on the economy, while the government stated there would be no immediate disruptions to oil supplies.
The Bank of Japan maintained its policy rate at 0.75% on March 19 amid growing Middle East uncertainty. The decision was widely expected by markets and central bank watchers.
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Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Yoo Sang-dai stated that uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve's rate path has deepened following the latest FOMC decision to hold benchmark rates at 3.5-3.75% for a second consecutive meeting, amid persistent Middle East instability. The BOK will monitor risks closely and act if needed to stabilize markets.
Entering its tenth day on March 9, 2026, the US-Israel-Iran war—already disrupting Middle East supplies as reported earlier—saw Brent oil spike to $120 per barrel amid Iran's 90% traffic cutoff in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump threatens escalated strikes and eases sanctions, while banks eye $150 peaks and G7 holds off on reserves.
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Japan's Q4 2025 GDP was revised upward to 1.3% annualized from the preliminary 0.2% reported on February 16, driven by strong business spending. January household spending on goods and private services held steady despite a year-on-year drop, with contained retail gasoline prices easing inflation. Analysts now expect the Bank of Japan to hold rates in April and hike in June.
Asian equities opened higher, tracking gains in US stocks and Treasuries, as investors overlooked geopolitical tensions. Markets displayed cautious optimism despite worries over oil prices and inflation, with the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision pending. Oil prices held near $103 amid expectations of continued volatility until energy stabilizes.
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Global oil prices are poised for their strongest monthly gain on record, with Brent crude nearing a 60% March surge due to the Iran war. US President Donald Trump indicated he is considering an exit from the conflict despite ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Tanker attacks continue to choke supplies.