Guangdong cuts 2026 GDP growth target to 4.5%-5%

China's manufacturing powerhouse Guangdong has lowered its 2026 GDP growth target to 4.5%-5% after missing the previous year's goal. Governor Meng Fanli announced this during the opening of the Guangdong provincial people’s congress. The adjustment signals challenges from the property sector drag and global headwinds.

Guangdong province, China's premier manufacturing hub, is recalibrating its economic ambitions. Governor Meng Fanli said on Monday while delivering the annual government work report at the opening of the Guangdong provincial people’s congress that the southern province, bordering Hong Kong, expects its gross domestic product to grow between 4.5 and 5 per cent in 2026.

The move comes after the province fell short of its 5 per cent target last year amid a persistent drag from the property market. Guangdong is home to major troubled developers such as Evergrande, Vanke and Country Garden.

The province’s economy continues to face a mix of long-standing issues and emerging challenges, Meng said in the report. As an industrial behemoth hit by property and global headwinds, Guangdong is shifting focus in a strategic pivot amid national reforms, addressing intensifying external pressures and internal regional imbalances.

This adjustment underscores Guangdong's role in broader national economic strategies, highlighting the need for cautious planning in the face of sector-specific vulnerabilities.

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Illustration depicting South Korea's 1% GDP growth in 2025 driven by exports amid construction weakness and Q4 contraction.
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South Korea's economy grows 1 percent in 2025

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South Korea's gross domestic product grew 1 percent in 2025 from the previous year, according to Bank of Korea data, but the fourth quarter saw an unexpected 0.3 percent contraction. Strong exports drove the annual figure despite weakness in construction. This marks half the 2 percent expansion of 2024.

China's government is likely to set a 2026 economic growth target in a range of 4.5% to 5%, according to three briefed sources. If confirmed, this would signal tolerance for some deceleration amid challenges, prioritizing economic rebalancing and stability.

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China's National Bureau of Statistics announced on Monday that the country's gross domestic product grew 5 percent in 2025 to reach 14.02 trillion yuan, meeting the government's target of around 5 percent. Despite a slowdown to a three-year low of 4.5 percent in the fourth quarter, the economy remained steady amid the US trade war.

China's vice minister of industry and information technology, Zhang Yunming, said at a January 22 press conference that the number of AI firms exceeded 6000 in 2025, with the core industry expected to surpass 1.2 trillion yuan. The sector highlighted how advanced manufacturing and AI-driven industries provided strong momentum for growth, boosting manufacturing value added by 5.9%.

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China is leveraging high-tech manufacturing, including 3D printers, to gain a competitive edge in global markets. In 2025, exports of high-tech products rose 13.2 percent, contributing to overall export growth. Shenzhen firms like Anycubic and Elegoo are expanding overseas through innovation and cost advantages, reaching over 150 countries and regions.

China's central bank has cut interest rates on targeted monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points and expanded related quotas to spur lending in key areas and improve market expectations. Vice Governor Zou Lan said the move underscores policymakers' resolve to support a solid economic start to the 15th Five-Year Plan period (2026-30).

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As part of this year's first exports, thousands of guitars from Zheng'an county in Guizhou province are being loaded for shipment to markets including Germany and Brazil. The southwestern county hosts 144 guitar and component firms, with annual output surpassing 2.4 million instruments.

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