Indian Rupee Hits New Record Low Amid Energy Crisis and Capital Outflows

The Indian rupee sank to a fresh record low against the US dollar, fueled by soaring energy import costs during an ongoing energy crisis and accelerating capital outflows. This has intensified pressure on the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to potentially hike interest rates, ending a pause in monetary tightening.

Continuing its multi-month slide that saw record lows like 93.73 in March and breaches above 94 amid West Asian tensions, the rupee weakened further due to elevated energy import bills, as reported by The Economic Times. Indian stocks and the currency tumbled on Thursday, led by declines in metals and public sector banks, amid global uncertainty, surging oil prices, and rumors of potential military action against Iran. The RBI intervened to support the rupee, though specific details were not disclosed. Despite the pressures, Indian markets posted their best April performance in 28 months before closing on Friday for Maharashtra Day.

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Trading floor at Bombay Stock Exchange showing screens with Indian rupee's 9.9% FY26 decline, Asia's worst, amid oil surge and stock drops.
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Indian rupee ends FY26 as Asia's worst performer with 9.9% decline

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The Indian rupee depreciated by 9.88% against the US dollar in FY26, marking it as Asia's weakest currency amid record foreign investor outflows and surging oil prices. The Reserve Bank of India intervened to stabilize the currency, while domestic funds provided a record cushion against the exits. Equity indices like Nifty and Sensex recorded their worst fiscal performance since FY20.

Continuing its sharp FY26 depreciation—after breaching 94 in late March—the Indian rupee fell to a fresh record low of 95.28 against the US dollar on Tuesday, May 5. Oil prices exceeding $110 a barrel have intensified inflation and balance-of-payments worries, prompting Reserve Bank of India interventions amid curbs on foreign exchange positions.

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The Indian rupee weakened further to breach 94 and approach 95 against the US dollar—a new record low—following its prior plunge to 93.73 last week. Surging crude oil prices from Red Sea tensions and fears of a prolonged Gulf war drove the slide, while Indian stocks extended losses into a fifth consecutive week. Limited Reserve Bank of India intervention has heightened concerns of additional depreciation.

The Philippine peso closed at P61.30 against the US dollar on Tuesday, April 28, marking a new record low amid global uncertainties from the Middle East conflict.

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The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday kept the key policy rate, the repo rate, unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Amid uncertainties from the West Asia conflict, the committee retained its neutral stance. It has lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for FY27.

Oil prices climbed sharply after Donald Trump rejected Iran's peace plan, sending ripples through global markets. The rupee hit a record low and equities slumped in India amid the developments. This follows last week's US-Iran exchange of fire that shattered a fragile ceasefire.

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Indian stock markets surged more than 2 percent on Friday amid expectations of a diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran.

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Indian markets close at over two-year low, rupee at 94.83

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