Ireland poised for strong showing at 2026 Oscars

The film Hamnet, starring Irish actors Jessie Buckley and Paul Mescal, is expected to secure multiple nominations at the 2026 Academy Awards. Directed by Chloé Zhao, the movie has already earned six Golden Globes nods, signaling strong Oscar potential. Other Irish productions and talents are also in contention across various categories.

The upcoming 2026 Oscars hold promise for Ireland, particularly through the biographical drama Hamnet. Set for release in Irish cinemas on 9 January, the film features Jessie Buckley as Agnes Hathaway and Paul Mescal as William Shakespeare. It has generated significant buzz, with six Golden Globes nominations announced earlier this month, including Best Female Actor for Buckley and Best Supporting Actor for Mescal. The Golden Globes ceremony on 11 January could provide early indicators of Hollywood sentiment toward these performances.

Oscar nomination ballots open later that month, with announcements on 22 January. Buckley is tipped for a Best Actress nod, while Mescal eyes Best Supporting Actor. Hamnet is also likely to compete in Best Picture, directing, and screenplay categories, the latter co-written by Derry-born author Maggie O’Farrell and Zhao.

Beyond Hamnet, Ireland's prospects extend to shorts and technical fields. John Kelly’s Retirement Plan, narrated by Domhnall Gleeson, and Cartoon Saloon’s Éiru are shortlisted for Best Animated Short. Retirement Plan has garnered 59,000 YouTube views and positive online feedback. Bugonia, produced by Ireland’s Element Pictures and directed by Yorgos Lanthimos, may vie for Best Adapted Screenplay. In cinematography, Irish talents Robbie Ryan (for Bugonia) and Seamus McGarvey (for Die My Love) are shortlisted, both with prior Oscar experience.

Industry predictions bolster these hopes. Variety forecasts 10 nominations for Hamnet, including Best Picture, Best Actress, and Best Supporting Actor, plus a nod for Andrew Scott in Best Supporting Actor for Blue Moon. AwardsWatch sees Buckley in Best Actress and both Mescal and Scott in Supporting Actor. The Hollywood Reporter ranks Buckley as the top Best Actress contender and Mescal third in Supporting Actor, while labeling Scott, Kerry Condon (for Train Dreams in Supporting Actress), and Enda Walsh (co-writer of Die My Love) as long shots.

Academy voting begins on 12 January, leaving time for further momentum. As one source notes, 'every year, the Oscars nominations include a few surprises,' suggesting Ireland's involvement could exceed expectations.

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Photorealistic illustration depicting Variety's 2026 Oscars acting predictions with Dolby Theatre, competing Oscar statuettes, and magazine cover.
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Variety updates predictions for 2026 Oscars acting categories

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Variety has released its latest predictions for the 2026 Oscars acting races, highlighting tight competitions in Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Supporting Actor. The forecasts, updated on January 20, 2026, reflect recent precursor awards and ongoing buzz. Nominations will be announced on January 22, with the ceremony set for March 15 at the Dolby Theatre.

The film Hamnet, a contender at this year's Oscars, will begin streaming on Peacock on March 6. Directed by Chloe Zhao, the movie stars Paul Mescal as William Shakespeare and Jessie Buckley as his wife Anne. Buckley's performance has already earned her multiple awards.

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Jessie Buckley won the Best Actress Oscar for her role as Agnes in Focus Features' Hamnet at the 98th Academy Awards, capping months of strong predictions for Irish talent including her frontrunner status. The first Irish actor to win in the category, she shared emotional reflections on motherhood backstage on UK Mother's Day.

Paul Mescal, fresh from starring in 2025's 'Hamnet' and 'The History of Sound,' has announced plans to ration his upcoming projects to avoid burnout. In a Guardian interview, the actor expressed hope of staying out of the spotlight until his role as Paul McCartney in Sam Mendes' Beatles biopics releases in 2028. He emphasized the need for balance amid a demanding career.

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Ryan Coogler's 'Sinners' dominated the 98th Academy Award nominations announced on January 22, 2026, securing a record-breaking 16 nods and surpassing the previous high of 14 shared by 'All About Eve,' 'Titanic,' and 'La La Land.' Paul Thomas Anderson's 'One Battle After Another' followed with 13 nominations, while Timothée Chalamet became the youngest man to earn three Best Actor nods for 'Marty Supreme.'

Updating earlier predictions for the 2026 Academy Awards on Sunday in Los Angeles, analysts see tight races in best picture ('Sinners' vs. 'One Battle After Another') and acting categories. New creative directors at luxury houses like Chanel and Dior view the event as a platform for custom red carpet looks, shifting from last year's archival focus.

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Rising British actors David Jonsson and Aimee Lou Wood will announce the nominees for the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards. The event is scheduled for January 27 at the British Academy's headquarters in London. It will be livestreamed on BAFTA's YouTube and X channels.

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