January tax revenue grows 30.8 percent, Purbaya confident 2026 budget deficit controlled

Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa is optimistic that the 2026 state budget deficit can be controlled due to January tax revenue growth of 30.8 percent. This achievement reached Rp116.2 trillion, or 4.9 percent of the budget target. The government's strategy emphasizes economic stimulus over tax rate increases.

Jakarta, February 12, 2026 – Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa expressed confidence that the 2026 State Revenue and Expenditure Budget (APBN) deficit will be under control, supported by January tax revenue growth of 30.8 percent year-on-year. "In January, tax grew 30 percent compared to last January. If we maintain 30 percent growth, that alone would exceed the APBN target, and the deficit would decrease," Purbaya said in the Sudirman area, South Jakarta, and at the Economic Outlook 2026 event.

January tax revenue reached Rp116.2 trillion, equivalent to 4.9 percent of the 2026 APBN target of Rp2,357.7 trillion. Overall, state revenue as of January 31, 2026, was recorded at Rp172.7 trillion, up 9.8 percent from Rp157.3 trillion in the same period last year, or 5.5 percent of the APBN target of Rp3,153.6 trillion.

Purbaya's strategy emphasizes boosting national economic growth rather than adjusting tax rates. He delayed the implementation of digital tax and excise on packaged sweetened beverages (MBDK) to avoid additional burdens during economic slowdowns. "I didn't raise tax rates, I postponed the digital tax first, and also postponed the MBDK excise, because I know when the economy falls, the government shouldn't strangle the economy; it should provide stimulus," he stated.

Other efforts include injecting funds into banking to enhance liquidity and the real sector, encouraging faster regional government spending, and resolving business obstacles. Additionally, internal reforms at the Directorate General of Taxes (DJP) and Directorate General of Customs and Excise (DJBC) aim to prevent revenue leaks. "So, a faster economy is my capital to control revenue, tax ratio, and budget deficit," added Purbaya, former Chairman of the Indonesia Deposit Insurance Corporation (LPS).

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Illustration of strengthening Rupiah amid tax revenue optimism, featuring Finance Minister and rising currency charts in Jakarta's financial hub.
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Rupiah strengthens on 2026 tax revenue optimism

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar strengthened in Tuesday morning trading, boosted by Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa's optimism about 2026 tax revenue exceeding targets. January tax realizations surged 30.8 percent year-on-year, while the Consumer Confidence Index rose to its highest level in a year. This comes amid fluctuations in the domestic stock market, which opened slightly weaker.

The Indonesian government is optimistic that economic growth in the first quarter of 2026 will reach 5.5-6 percent, breaking the stagnant pattern around 5 percent. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa stated this at the Indonesia Economic Outlook 2026 event in Jakarta.

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Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa urged the public not to panic amid uncertain global conditions, assuring that fiscal and state revenue positions remain safe. He highlighted a Rp 420 trillion Saldo Anggaran Lebih (SAL) as a layered defense. The decision to hold subsidized fuel (BBM) prices steady until the end of 2026 follows direct instructions from President Prabowo Subianto.

Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa has placed an additional Rp 100 trillion in bank deposits to counter liquidity pressures from rising government bond yields. The total now stands at around Rp 300 trillion, up from Rp 200 trillion previously. The injection, timed ahead of Lebaran, prioritizes state-owned and regional banks.

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Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana is set to deliver South Africa's 2026 Budget speech on February 25, amid positive economic signals including a credit rating upgrade and rising commodity prices. These factors are expected to support efforts to cap the country's debt at 77.9% of GDP and advance fiscal consolidation. Economists anticipate a focus on stabilizing debt and outlining a path to lower ratios in the medium and long term.

Cabinet Secretary Teddy Indra Wijaya has denied rumors that Indonesia will face chaos soon. He assured that everything is under control, with stable fuel prices and a solid economy. The statement came during a meeting with reporters at the Presidential Palace Complex on April 10, 2026.

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The French state recorded a deficit of 125 billion euros in 2025, a 31.6 billion drop from 2024, thanks to robust tax revenues, Bercy announced on February 3. This improvement, the strongest since 2020, still hides ongoing debt pressures. Public spending remained steady, while revenues exceeded forecasts.

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