Japan’s exports rise 6.1% in November, led by U.S. and EU demand

Japan’s exports increased 6.1% in November from a year earlier, surpassing economists’ forecast of 5.0%, according to the Finance Ministry. Shipments to the U.S. rose 8.8% and to the EU 19.6%, offsetting a decline to China. The overall trade balance showed a surplus of ¥322.3 billion.

Japan’s exports rose by the most since February in November, gaining 6.1% from a year earlier, as reported by the Finance Ministry on Wednesday. The increase, exceeding economists’ forecast of 5.0%, was driven by demand for semiconductor parts and medical goods.

Shipments to the U.S. climbed 8.8%, marking the first rise in eight months, which boosted the trade surplus with the U.S. to ¥739.8 billion ($4.8 billion), up 11.3% from the previous year. This surplus has persisted nonstop since U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term began in January, despite his administration’s push for higher tariffs to narrow the gap.

The uptick in U.S.-bound exports is a positive sign for the Bank of Japan, which is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate on Friday. Uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariffs have been a key reason the BOJ has held off on another hike since January.

Exports to China fell 2.4%, led by declines in chip-making machinery and nonferrous metals, while imports from China rose 2.3%. Overall, Japan recorded an unadjusted trade surplus of ¥322.3 billion, with imports increasing 1.3% against a consensus estimate of 3%.

Trade with Beijing faces added uncertainty following a diplomatic dispute last month over Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s remarks on a hypothetical Taiwan contingency.

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Illustration depicting South Korea's 8.2% export rise in semiconductors and automobiles at a busy port, with a graph showing trade surplus.
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South Korea's exports rise 8.2 percent in early November

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South Korea's exports rose 8.2 percent year-on-year in the first 20 days of November, fueled by strong demand for semiconductors and automobiles. Outbound shipments reached $38.5 billion, up from $35.6 billion a year earlier, according to Korea Customs Service data. Imports grew 3.7 percent to $36.1 billion, yielding a $2.4 billion trade surplus.

Japan's exports grew 3.1% in 2025 from the previous year, led by electronic parts and food, according to a Finance Ministry report. Despite a decline in shipments to the United States—the first since the pandemic—due to tariffs from President Donald Trump, exports to Europe and Asia excluding China remained strong.

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Government data showed Japan's household spending rose 2.9% year-on-year in November, defying forecasts of a 0.9% decline. The increase, driven by automobile-related expenses and dining out, indicates a steady recovery in private consumption.

Japan's green tea exports in the first 10 months of this year hit the highest level in over 70 years, driven by booming demand for matcha powder abroad and a weaker yen. Shipments rose 44 percent from the previous year to 10,084 tons. The United States led imports with 3,497 tons.

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The Bank of Japan’s quarterly tankan survey showed large manufacturers’ business sentiment index rising to 15 in December from 14 in September, marking a four-year high since December 2021. This improvement reinforces market expectations for a rate hike by the central bank. Nonmanufacturers’ index held steady at 34.

Japan’s Nikkei share average fell for a fifth straight session as global trade frictions dampened risk sentiment, while government bonds rebounded after a sharp drop the previous day. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s call for a snap election on Monday heightened concerns over the nation’s fragile finances.

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Japan's Nikkei stock average surged to a record high of 53,814.79 shortly after trading opened on January 13, fueled by reports of a possible snap election. The rally followed Wall Street gains and a weaker yen. Finance officials hinted at potential currency intervention.

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