Marseille municipal elections: could the RN win?

No one in Paris dares consider Marseille flipping to the Rassemblement National in the 2026 municipal elections. Yet, this scenario remains possible, with the key in the hands of La France Insoumise. Maintaining the LFI list in the second round could favor the RN candidate's election.

Parisian political headquarters dismiss the idea of a Rassemblement National (RN) victory in Marseille, France's second-largest city, in the second round of the 2026 municipal elections on March 22. The RN candidate, Franck Allisio, is seen as unknown and not up to the task for such a major vote by national observers.

Others bet on the re-election of outgoing mayor Benoît Payan due to his political cunning. Martine Vassal, from the right and center, could win if the 2020 divisions are overcome, particularly through an agreement between these forces. Uncertainty surrounds La France Insoumise (LFI)'s strategy, however.

Most hope that LFI candidate Sébastien Delogu will not maintain his list in the second round, avoiding the risk of electing Franck Allisio by default. A non-Marseille elected official comments: “Jean-Luc Mélenchon is in a revolutionary strategy. In that case, he will let Delogu face…”. This decision could determine the fate of the Phocaean city, where the RN aims for an unexpected takeover.

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Split-scene photo illustration of tensions in Benoît Payan's left-wing camp and Franck Allisio's controversial RN proposals in Marseille elections.
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Internal tensions in Payan's camp and controversial proposals by Allisio in Marseille

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In Marseille, the submission of electoral lists by outgoing mayor Benoît Payan has sparked tensions within his left-wing majority, with sidelined deputies denouncing brutal decisions. Meanwhile, RN candidate Franck Allisio, polling at 34% of voting intentions, presented priority measures including an 'anti-thugs pass' for parks and beaches. These developments come two weeks before the first round of the 2026 municipal elections.

In Marseille, tensions are rising between incumbent mayor Benoît Payan and La France insoumise candidate Sébastien Delogu ahead of the 2026 municipal elections. Delogu accuses Payan of pursuing a Macronist policy, while Payan blames his rival for choosing division. Meanwhile, Marine Le Pen is supporting RN candidate Franck Allisio, heightening the far-right threat.

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In the second round of the 2026 Marseille municipal elections, Benoît Payan (DVG) retained the mayoralty with 54.34% of votes, against Franck Allisio (RN) at 40.30% and Martine Vassal at 5.36%. Payan's Printemps marseillais secured six of the city's eight sectors.

At a meeting in Marseille on March 7, 2026, Jean-Luc Mélenchon sharply criticized the Socialist Party's «irresponsible and dangerous» attitude, one week before the first round of municipal elections. Supporting La France insoumise candidate Sébastien Delogu, he stated that «Marseille will not be swept away by the brown wave» of the Rassemblement national. He also denied antisemitism accusations from his former left-wing allies.

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As the March 2026 municipal elections approach, French political parties are gearing up, with repercussions for the September senatorial vote. A collective launches tools to promote social parity, while the National Rally adopts a cautious strategy. These elections will shape the Senate's makeup.

Political scientist Emilien Houard-Vial deems the Républicains' (LR) ideological radicalization strategy a losing bet ahead of the 2026 municipal and 2027 presidential elections. In an interview with Le Monde, he examines the call for a « cordon sanitaire » around La France insoumise (LFI) made by Bruno Retailleau following the death of a nationalist militant. This approach, drawing on Rassemblement national (RN) themes, risks diluting the party's identity.

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Rassemblement national president Jordan Bardella launched the party's municipal campaign on Saturday in Agde and Carcassonne, not ruling out union lists in the second round against the risk of an extreme left victory. He reaffirmed support for Marine Le Pen, on trial in appeal for fake jobs, and said he is preparing to become head of government. These statements come ahead of the March 15 and 22 municipal elections.

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