Marseille municipal elections: could the RN win?

No one in Paris dares consider Marseille flipping to the Rassemblement National in the 2026 municipal elections. Yet, this scenario remains possible, with the key in the hands of La France Insoumise. Maintaining the LFI list in the second round could favor the RN candidate's election.

Parisian political headquarters dismiss the idea of a Rassemblement National (RN) victory in Marseille, France's second-largest city, in the second round of the 2026 municipal elections on March 22. The RN candidate, Franck Allisio, is seen as unknown and not up to the task for such a major vote by national observers.

Others bet on the re-election of outgoing mayor Benoît Payan due to his political cunning. Martine Vassal, from the right and center, could win if the 2020 divisions are overcome, particularly through an agreement between these forces. Uncertainty surrounds La France Insoumise (LFI)'s strategy, however.

Most hope that LFI candidate Sébastien Delogu will not maintain his list in the second round, avoiding the risk of electing Franck Allisio by default. A non-Marseille elected official comments: “Jean-Luc Mélenchon is in a revolutionary strategy. In that case, he will let Delogu face…”. This decision could determine the fate of the Phocaean city, where the RN aims for an unexpected takeover.

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Split-scene photo illustration of tensions in Benoît Payan's left-wing camp and Franck Allisio's controversial RN proposals in Marseille elections.
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Internal tensions in Payan's camp and controversial proposals by Allisio in Marseille

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In Marseille, the submission of electoral lists by outgoing mayor Benoît Payan has sparked tensions within his left-wing majority, with sidelined deputies denouncing brutal decisions. Meanwhile, RN candidate Franck Allisio, polling at 34% of voting intentions, presented priority measures including an 'anti-thugs pass' for parks and beaches. These developments come two weeks before the first round of the 2026 municipal elections.

In the second round of the 2026 Marseille municipal elections, Benoît Payan (DVG) retained the mayoralty with 54.34% of votes, against Franck Allisio (RN) at 40.30% and Martine Vassal at 5.36%. Payan's Printemps marseillais secured six of the city's eight sectors.

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As the 2026 municipal elections approach, the Rassemblement National (RN) aims to capture dozens of cities, signaling a shift in its local implantation strategy. This goal comes against a historical backdrop where the party, founded in 1972, focused primarily on presidential races under Jean-Marie Le Pen. Marine Le Pen has driven changes to build the movement's territorial legitimacy.

Less than a week before the first round of municipal elections on March 15, 2026, recent polls show tight voting intentions in major cities. Le Figaro provides an infographic on trends in Paris, Marseille, Lyon, and other areas. Races are especially competitive in metropolises, making first-round wins unlikely.

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Jean-Marc Pujol, LR mayor of Perpignan from 2009 to 2020, calls for votes for incumbent mayor Louis Aliot (RN) in the March 15 and 22, 2026 municipal elections. The two men, former rivals in 2009, 2014, and 2020, unite in a logic of right-wing alliance.

In Lisieux, Calvados, the right is divided for the 2026 municipal elections, with three lists challenging outgoing mayor Sébastien Leclerc. Paul Mercier, a former deputy, and Olivier Truffaut for the united left oppose the divers droite figure under criticism. The Rassemblement national, which got 37.8% in the 2024 legislative elections, is not fielding a list.

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Amid ongoing controversy over Jean-Luc Mélenchon's remarks accused of antisemitism, the Socialist Party (PS) has urged La France Insoumise (LFI) militants to disavow him and ruled out second-round municipal election alliances, intensifying left-wing divisions ten days before the first round. Mélenchon decries the move as benefiting the far right.

 

 

 

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