Marseille municipal elections: could the RN win?

No one in Paris dares consider Marseille flipping to the Rassemblement National in the 2026 municipal elections. Yet, this scenario remains possible, with the key in the hands of La France Insoumise. Maintaining the LFI list in the second round could favor the RN candidate's election.

Parisian political headquarters dismiss the idea of a Rassemblement National (RN) victory in Marseille, France's second-largest city, in the second round of the 2026 municipal elections on March 22. The RN candidate, Franck Allisio, is seen as unknown and not up to the task for such a major vote by national observers.

Others bet on the re-election of outgoing mayor Benoît Payan due to his political cunning. Martine Vassal, from the right and center, could win if the 2020 divisions are overcome, particularly through an agreement between these forces. Uncertainty surrounds La France Insoumise (LFI)'s strategy, however.

Most hope that LFI candidate Sébastien Delogu will not maintain his list in the second round, avoiding the risk of electing Franck Allisio by default. A non-Marseille elected official comments: “Jean-Luc Mélenchon is in a revolutionary strategy. In that case, he will let Delogu face…”. This decision could determine the fate of the Phocaean city, where the RN aims for an unexpected takeover.

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Illustration of a lively French town square gearing up for the 2026 municipal elections, with politicians campaigning before a historic town hall, highlighting high stakes for the Senate.
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The stakes of France's 2026 municipal elections

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As the March 2026 municipal elections approach, French political parties are gearing up, with repercussions for the September senatorial vote. A collective launches tools to promote social parity, while the National Rally adopts a cautious strategy. These elections will shape the Senate's makeup.

In Marseille, tensions are rising between incumbent mayor Benoît Payan and La France insoumise candidate Sébastien Delogu ahead of the 2026 municipal elections. Delogu accuses Payan of pursuing a Macronist policy, while Payan blames his rival for choosing division. Meanwhile, Marine Le Pen is supporting RN candidate Franck Allisio, heightening the far-right threat.

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With less than two months until the municipal elections, Jordan Bardella, president of the Rassemblement National, has revealed quantified ambitions for his party, estimating it could win several dozen communes. Marseille is highlighted as the main target, with candidate Franck Allisio neck-and-neck with incumbent mayor Benoît Payan in polls.

Deputy Sophia Chikirou, La France insoumise (LFI) lead candidate for the 2026 Paris municipal elections, is holding her first major campaign rally on Friday, January 30. She aims to build on the party's recent electoral successes in the capital. This launch signals the start of an effort to win seats on the Paris City Council.

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In an interview aired on December 7, 2025, Xavier Bertrand, LR president of the Hauts-de-France region, distanced himself from Nicolas Sarkozy's recent statements on potential alignment with the Rassemblement national (RN). He reiterated his fight against extremes—neither LFI nor RN—and rejected the idea of a 'union of the rights' that he sees as an alliance with the far right.

A recent poll shows an erosion of Marine Le Pen's image among the French, especially RN sympathizers, who prefer Jordan Bardella for the 2027 presidency. Despite her 2025 conviction, RN ideas are gaining ground in public opinion, splitting France evenly between concerns and enthusiasm. The party retains its momentum amid judicial troubles.

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France's Council of State confirmed on Monday, November 10, the forced resignation of Marine Le Pen from her Pas-de-Calais departmental councilor role, following her conviction for public funds embezzlement. This ruling heightens doubts over her 2027 presidential bid. The Rassemblement National party faces growing criticism of its economic policies as its leaders seek dialogue with business leaders.

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