Daniil Medvedev will take on Tallon Griekspoor in the final of the ATP Dubai Tennis Championships on February 28, 2026. Medvedev, the third seed, has reached the final without dropping a set, while Griekspoor has advanced by defeating several seeded players. Predictions heavily favor the Russian to claim the title.
The ATP Dubai Tennis Championships final pits third-seeded Daniil Medvedev against Tallon Griekspoor at the Aviation Club Tennis Centre in Dubai, UAE. Scheduled for February 28, 2026, not before 7:00 PM GST, the best-of-three sets match on outdoor hard courts marks a rematch from last year's quarterfinals in the same tournament, where Griekspoor won 2-6, 7-6, 7-5.
Medvedev, currently ranked No. 11, enters as the favorite after a strong run through the draw. He defeated Juncheng Shang in the first round, followed by wins over Stan Wawrinka, Jenson Brooksby, and top seed Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semifinals. Sources report that Medvedev has not dropped a set this week, showcasing renewed form despite recent struggles, including a fall from the top 10 and a loss to Stefanos Tsitsipas in Doha. His defensive style, combined with variety in groundstrokes, has been effective, and he already holds a 2026 title from Brisbane.
Griekspoor, ranked No. 25, has impressed by upsetting higher seeds. He beat Otto Virtanen, second seed Alexander Bublik, sixth seed Jakub Mensik in a three-set comeback, and fifth seed Andrey Rublev, dropping only one set overall. The Dutchman appeared to pull up with a possible injury late in his semifinal but remains confident from his prior victory over Medvedev.
Analyses predict Medvedev to win, with models giving him an 81% chance and suggesting a straight-sets victory. Betting odds list him as a heavy favorite, with focus on his superior return game—33% first-serve return points won compared to Griekspoor's 25%. Both players seek the title for momentum heading into Indian Wells and Miami.