Mexico surpasses Canada as main destination for US exports in 2025

In 2025, Mexico became the top market for US exports, with $337.9 billion, surpassing Canada for the first time at $336.5 billion. This milestone underscores the growing trade integration under the T-MEC and bilateral dynamism. Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard highlighted these figures on social media as evidence of the Mexico-US relationship's weight.

US Department of Commerce figures show that in 2025, US exports to Mexico reached $337.9 billion, accounting for 15.5% of the country's total shipments. This exceeded Canada, which received $336.5 billion, or 15.4%. According to Mexico's Business Coordinating Council, it is the first time annually that Mexico receives more US exports than Canada.

Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard shared these figures on social media, adding that Mexico is the main destination for 25% of US industrial sectors. An analysis by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) states that since 2020, Mexico has been the fastest-growing and most stable US export destination, with exports doubling over 15 years. This illustrates how a more prosperous Mexico has become a key market for US products.

In the context of trade tensions under the Donald Trump administration, Mexico avoided adverse scenarios through pragmatic negotiations, unlike Canada, which initially imposed retaliatory tariffs. Statistics Canada data indicate that Canadian imports from the US fell 6.2% in December 2025 compared to the previous year, and exports to the US dropped 5.7%, resulting in the narrowest trade surplus with the US in five years.

Bidirectionally, Mexico's exports to the US closed at $534.9 billion, a record with 5.8% growth, capturing 15.7% of US imports. This widened the US trade deficit with Mexico to $196.9 billion, a 14.8% increase from 2024, positioning Mexico as the second-largest US deficit after China. In December, Mexico's exports to the US totaled $42.4 billion, the highest monthly historical figure.

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Mexico solidified its position as the top US trading partner in February 2026, with exports totaling $44.3 billion, or 17.5% of total US imports. This marks a significant rise from prior periods, as China dropped to fourth place. The figures come from the US Census Bureau.

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Building on its top position in US imports through February, Mexico posted a record $70.7 billion in total exports for March 2026, up 27.7% year-over-year, with a $5.9 billion trade surplus. Non-automotive manufactures drove the surge amid US supply chain shifts, while deseasonalized figures rose 8.5% from February.

Mexico and the United States concluded the first formal round of talks to review the T-MEC last week in Mexico City.

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