Poll for MV state election: AfD loses, SPD catches up

A new poll ahead of the 2026 state election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern indicates strong gains for the SPD under Minister President Manuela Schwesig. The AfD loses support for the first time and has to 'shed feathers'.

The poll raises the question of whether Minister President Manuela Schwesig can once again achieve a major comeback. The SPD is gaining significantly, while the AfD is experiencing setbacks for the first time. This could have implications for the state, and how the parties react remains to be seen. The state election is scheduled for 2026 and could alter the political landscape in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. The exact poll numbers and methodology are not detailed in the sources, but the trend toward strengthening the SPD is evident.

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News illustration of AfD leading Union by 5 points (27% vs 22%) in German polls, with Chancellor Merz at 15% approval.
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AfD leads Union by five points in latest poll

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The latest RTL/ntv Trendbarometer by Forsa shows the AfD at 27 percent, five points ahead of the Union at 22 percent. The Union records its worst result since December 2021. Approval for Chancellor Friedrich Merz has fallen to a low of 15 percent.

A current poll shows the AfD reaching a new record in Brandenburg and clearly surpassing the SPD and CDU coalition partners.

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The AfD has reached its highest-ever score of 29 percent in a new survey. The union falls to 22 percent, widening the gap further.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz emphasized the stability of his black-red coalition during an ARD interview with Caren Miosga on Sunday evening (May 3, 2026). He urged the SPD to show compromise and ruled out alternatives like tolerance by the AfD. Merz openly addressed discontent within the Union and the limits of his patience.

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