Qiushi journal reaffirms China’s trade rebalance, calls export-led growth unsustainable

China’s top Communist Party journal, Qiushi, has reaffirmed the push to rebalance trade, stating that a worsening global environment of rising protectionism and geopolitical tensions adds urgency to shifting from an “unsustainable” export-driven growth model. The commentary notes profound changes in conditions shaping China’s trade balance, with deep-seated weaknesses in the foreign trade sector remaining pronounced.

A commentary in the latest issue of Qiushi Journal, China’s top Communist Party publication, reaffirms Beijing’s efforts to pursue balanced trade as a “strategic adjustment proactively undertaken” in response to changing economic conditions.

The article states that the domestic contribution to the value of China’s exports remains relatively low, with weak competitiveness in high-end manufacturing and critical technologies. It calls for urgent improvements in regional trade coordination and services trade.

“In particular, the inherent traits of China’s massive economy dictate that the export-driven model relied upon during its phase of outward-oriented accumulation is unsustainable, making the push for balanced trade development inevitable,” the commentary said.

“The underlying conditions, and both domestic and external environment shaping China’s trade balance, are undergoing profound changes, while deep-seated weaknesses in the foreign trade sector remain pronounced,” it added.

Global tensions, weak high-end exports, and record trade surpluses are cited as spurring a shift to boost imports, develop services trade, and deepen market integration.

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Illustration of China's record Q1 foreign trade growth, depicting a busy port with ships, cranes, and surging trade graphs.
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China's Q1 foreign trade up 15%, fastest in five years

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China's foreign trade reached 11.84 trillion yuan ($1.63 trillion) in the first quarter of 2026, up 15% year on year, the fastest quarterly growth in nearly five years, officials from the General Administration of Customs announced on Tuesday. Exports totaled 6.85 trillion yuan, up 11.9%, while imports rose 19.6% to 4.99 trillion yuan. The figure marks the first time first-quarter trade has exceeded 11 trillion yuan.

At a news conference in Beijing, Liu Jieyi, spokesman for the fourth session of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, stated that China will deepen high-level opening-up and accelerate free trade zone development to stabilize economic growth amid rising global uncertainties. He highlighted that China's economy demonstrated 'remarkable resilience and vitality' over the past year despite a complex external environment.

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China's state-run Economic Daily has published back-to-back front-page editorials rejecting claims that its economy is losing steam and causing a global 'China shock 2.0'. The outlet argues that rising protectionism, not China's strong exports, is the real global economic problem. It describes the 4.5 to 5 per cent growth target as a 'reasonable range'.

US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the United States seeks greater economic balance with China through upcoming talks in Beijing. He stressed that Washington does not aim to alter China's governance or economic model. Greer highlighted stability as the main objective in bilateral trade relations.

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An opinion piece in the South China Morning Post states Beijing's plans assure steady, high-quality growth and stable relations, with Hong Kong taking a bigger role in national development. It highlights a shift to a growth target range as reflecting strategic flexibility.

Following Premier Li Qiang's government work report setting a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5%, Zheng Shanjie of the National Development and Reform Commission projected over 6 trillion yuan GDP growth this year at the NPC economy press conference. The service sector is expected to exceed 100 trillion yuan during the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030). Leaders including Xi Jinping emphasized high-quality development amid the sessions.

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China plans a 9.3 percent increase in foreign affairs spending this year, the highest in three years and outpacing the military budget's 7 percent rise. Analysts say this signals Beijing's intent to consolidate geopolitical clout amid escalating global instability. The United States shows signs of withdrawing from its role as a world leader.

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