US and European buyers return to China amid Iran war supply shocks

Amid energy shocks from the Iran war threatening Southeast Asia’s supply chains, US and European importers are shifting some orders back to China. Chinese exporters report a recovery in buyer numbers at the Canton Fair in Guangzhou.

At the Canton Fair in Guangzhou, buyer patterns show a recovery in numbers from Europe and the United States compared to last year, according to Chinese exporters. Inquiries have increased for home appliances, new energy products, and consumer electronics.

Liang Qiuyan, overseas market director at Zhixin Electronics, a massage chair exporter, said the shift was palpable. “From the clients visiting the Canton Fair, we can clearly feel the return of European and US customers,” she said, adding that some were reinforcing their reliance on Chinese supply chains with “potentially more orders this year”.

The company expects revenue to grow 30 to 40 per cent in 2026, driven mainly by Europe and the United States. Washington’s current tariffs on China have had only a limited impact, she said.

Not everyone is optimistic, however, as US and European importers shift some orders back to China amid the Iran war’s energy shock threatening Southeast Asia’s supply chains.

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Illustration of China's record Q1 foreign trade growth, depicting a busy port with ships, cranes, and surging trade graphs.
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China's Q1 foreign trade up 15%, fastest in five years

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China's foreign trade reached 11.84 trillion yuan ($1.63 trillion) in the first quarter of 2026, up 15% year on year, the fastest quarterly growth in nearly five years, officials from the General Administration of Customs announced on Tuesday. Exports totaled 6.85 trillion yuan, up 11.9%, while imports rose 19.6% to 4.99 trillion yuan. The figure marks the first time first-quarter trade has exceeded 11 trillion yuan.

The 139th Canton Fair opened in Guangzhou on April 15, setting records despite Middle East tensions disrupting travel. It features over 32,000 companies, 75,700 booths and a 1.55 million square metre area. Exporters voice concerns over geopolitical risks affecting Europe and emerging markets.

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US importers have cut orders from Hong Kong firms and shifted to short-term contracts amid a global oil crisis triggered by war in the Middle East. Business leaders warn of eroding profit margins and strained liquidity, urging the government to bolster ties with Central Asia and Asean nations to diversify market risks. Executive Council member Jeffrey Lam Kin-fung said the situation will impact SMEs' cash flow.

In the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis, which began over a month ago with US and Israeli strikes on Iran, the strait reopened briefly before closing again this week. Oil prices remain elevated at US$100-105 per barrel, hitting China's transport and manufacturing sectors. Companies are delaying or cancelling orders to shield consumers from higher costs.

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China's state-run Economic Daily has published back-to-back front-page editorials rejecting claims that its economy is losing steam and causing a global 'China shock 2.0'. The outlet argues that rising protectionism, not China's strong exports, is the real global economic problem. It describes the 4.5 to 5 per cent growth target as a 'reasonable range'.

Beijing renewed import licences for hundreds of US beef plants during US President Donald Trump’s visit to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Brazil nears its annual beef export quota to China and is seeking alternative markets.

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Hong Kong's major retailers are using direct sourcing and economies of scale to avoid price hikes amid surging logistics costs from the Middle East war. Sa Sa International chairman Simon Kwok Siu-ming warns of pressure on petroleum-derived beauty products. Shipping and airfreight costs have risen 10 to 15 per cent.

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