US and European buyers return to China amid Iran war supply shocks

Amid energy shocks from the Iran war threatening Southeast Asia’s supply chains, US and European importers are shifting some orders back to China. Chinese exporters report a recovery in buyer numbers at the Canton Fair in Guangzhou.

At the Canton Fair in Guangzhou, buyer patterns show a recovery in numbers from Europe and the United States compared to last year, according to Chinese exporters. Inquiries have increased for home appliances, new energy products, and consumer electronics.

Liang Qiuyan, overseas market director at Zhixin Electronics, a massage chair exporter, said the shift was palpable. “From the clients visiting the Canton Fair, we can clearly feel the return of European and US customers,” she said, adding that some were reinforcing their reliance on Chinese supply chains with “potentially more orders this year”.

The company expects revenue to grow 30 to 40 per cent in 2026, driven mainly by Europe and the United States. Washington’s current tariffs on China have had only a limited impact, she said.

Not everyone is optimistic, however, as US and European importers shift some orders back to China amid the Iran war’s energy shock threatening Southeast Asia’s supply chains.

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Illustration of China's record Q1 foreign trade growth, depicting a busy port with ships, cranes, and surging trade graphs.
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China's Q1 foreign trade up 15%, fastest in five years

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China's foreign trade reached 11.84 trillion yuan ($1.63 trillion) in the first quarter of 2026, up 15% year on year, the fastest quarterly growth in nearly five years, officials from the General Administration of Customs announced on Tuesday. Exports totaled 6.85 trillion yuan, up 11.9%, while imports rose 19.6% to 4.99 trillion yuan. The figure marks the first time first-quarter trade has exceeded 11 trillion yuan.

The 139th Canton Fair opened in Guangzhou on April 15, setting records despite Middle East tensions disrupting travel. It features over 32,000 companies, 75,700 booths and a 1.55 million square metre area. Exporters voice concerns over geopolitical risks affecting Europe and emerging markets.

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US importers have cut orders from Hong Kong firms and shifted to short-term contracts amid a global oil crisis triggered by war in the Middle East. Business leaders warn of eroding profit margins and strained liquidity, urging the government to bolster ties with Central Asia and Asean nations to diversify market risks. Executive Council member Jeffrey Lam Kin-fung said the situation will impact SMEs' cash flow.

China's trade performance exceeded expectations at the beginning of 2026, with exports rising sharply. The growth rate reached 21.8% year-on-year for January and February, compared to 5.5% in the previous year. This surge was propelled by key sectors amid global demand.

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Logistics giant DHL expects revenues to soar by 2030, driven largely by Chinese companies' global ambitions, even amid disruptions from the US-Israel war on Iran and unpredictable tariffs. Oscar de Bok, CEO of its global forwarding and freight business, highlighted China's crucial supply chain role in a Shanghai interview.

Amid rising oil prices and risk-off sentiment from the Middle East war, analysts recommend sectors where firms have pricing power. Chinese companies in energy, petrochemicals, and agriculture stand to benefit from surging oil prices and easing deflation.

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Li Yanqing, executive vice-president and secretary-general of the China Association of the National Shipbuilding Industry, stated in an interview that the US attempt to revive its shipbuilding sector overnight through investment alone is unrealistic, calling US port fees 'absurd' and politically motivated. China's market lead in shipbuilding remains solid despite global fluctuations.

 

 

 

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