Robinhood misses Q4 revenue estimates due to crypto slump

Robinhood Markets reported fourth-quarter revenue of $1.28 billion for 2025, falling short of analyst forecasts of $1.33 billion, primarily due to a 38% drop in crypto trading revenue to $221 million. Despite the miss, earnings per share of $0.66 exceeded expectations of $0.63. The results highlight the impact of a broader crypto market downturn on the trading platform's business.

Robinhood Markets released its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 on February 10, 2026. Total revenue for the quarter rose 27% year-over-year to $1.28 billion, while full-year revenue reached a record $4.5 billion. However, the figure missed Wall Street estimates of $1.33 billion, with profits declining to $605 million, or $0.66 per share, from $916 million, or $1.01 per share, in the prior year—though it still beat analyst expectations of $0.63 per share.

The revenue shortfall was largely attributed to weakness in the crypto segment. Crypto trading revenue fell 38% from $358 million a year earlier to $221 million, reflecting lower digital asset prices that reduced trading activity. This decline occurred despite Robinhood's expansions, including new crypto features, transfers across more regions, additional token listings beyond major coins, services for retail and institutional investors in Europe, a proprietary stablecoin, its own blockchain launched in 2025, and tokenised stock trading in Europe. The company also introduced a prediction markets offering, which helped offset some effects of the crypto downturn.

Overall transaction-based revenue increased 15% to $776 million, supported by gains in equity and options trading. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev addressed the crypto volatility during the earnings call, stating, “We’re moving into a world where crypto is more than an asset class. If we play our cards right, crypto will play its role in giving customers what they need.” He added, “We’re not getting distracted by short term [price] fluctuations.”

The results come amid a severe crypto market crash on October 10, 2025, when over $19 billion in leveraged bets were liquidated—the largest such event in crypto history. Bitcoin traded at $68,590 per coin recently, 45% below its all-time high. Robinhood shares fell nearly 7% in after-hours trading following the release and have declined 25% year-to-date, underscoring the platform's ties to crypto performance. The stock, trading at $79, is down nearly 50% from its early October 2025 peak. Analysts anticipate similar pressures on competitor Coinbase when it reports earnings later in the week.

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Realistic depiction of crypto traders celebrating Bitcoin-led market rebound to $66,000 with surging charts on screens.
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Crypto market rebounds with bitcoin leading gains near $66,000

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The cryptocurrency market has staged a broad rally after days of selling pressure, with bitcoin reclaiming levels around $65,000 to $66,000. Ethereum and XRP also advanced, pushing toward $1,900 and $1.40 respectively, amid signs of technical recovery. Analysts caution that the bounce may lack fundamental drivers and face resistance ahead.

Robinhood Markets reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of US$1,283 million, surpassing the previous year's US$1,014 million but falling short of expectations due to a 38% decline in crypto transaction revenue. Net income decreased to US$605 million from US$916 million. The results have raised questions about the company's diversification strategy amid ongoing share repurchases and product expansions.

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Coinbase announced a $667 million net loss for the fourth quarter of 2025, marking its first quarterly deficit since 2023. The loss stemmed primarily from non-cash write-downs on its cryptocurrency holdings and strategic investments, despite record highs in trading volume and market share. Total revenue fell 21.6% year-over-year to $1.78 billion, missing analyst expectations.

Nvidia Corporation reported stronger-than-expected results for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2026, with revenue rising 73% year-over-year to $68.1 billion. The company's data center segment, fueled by products like Blackwell and NVLink, now accounts for over 90% of total revenue. Asian markets climbed for a fourth straight day, boosted by Nvidia's upbeat sales forecast.

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Tesla reported a 46% drop in 2025 full-year profits to $3.8 billion—the first annual revenue decline—due to falling vehicle deliveries, competition, and lost EV tax credits. Despite Q4 challenges, it beat earnings estimates, unveiled a strategic shift to 'physical AI' including scrapping Model S/X production, launching TerraFab chip factory, ramping robotaxis and Optimus robots, and planning $20B+ capex, fueling analyst optimism and a forward P/E ratio of 196 versus auto peers.

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