Sensex, Nifty set for lower open as Middle East crisis escalates oil prices

India's benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty are poised for a weak start on March 13 amid ongoing Middle East conflict, with Brent crude hitting $100 per barrel. This follows earlier market turmoil from the West Asia crisis, including Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure.

Building on the sharp declines triggered by US and Israel strikes on Iran earlier in March—which killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompted the Strait of Hormuz closure—Indian markets face continued pressure. On March 13, 2026, GIFT Nifty futures traded at 23,549.5 by 07:57 am IST, down from the prior Nifty 50 close of 23,639.15, signaling a lower open.

Brent crude has now reached $100 per barrel, as previously warned by experts, exacerbating concerns for oil-import dependent India. Foreign investors have been net sellers, contributing to a weekly Nifty downturn in 2026. Global cues remain negative, with support and resistance levels for Nifty under watch amid a bearish outlook.

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Dramatic composite image depicting Strait of Hormuz oil tanker explosion from US-Israeli strikes on Iran alongside Indian stock market crash amid surging oil prices.
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Middle East Conflict: Tuesday Market Losses Mount as Oil Surges Continue

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Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompted Strait of Hormuz disruptions, oil prices rose nearly 8% amid ongoing tensions. Indian markets shed Rs 6.35 lakh crore on Tuesday, with the rupee weakening on supply fears. Globally, the dollar strengthened as a safe haven while the yen and euro weakened.

Indian stock markets recorded a sharp decline on Monday due to escalating tensions in West Asia. US and Israel strikes on Iran caused crude oil prices to surge, heightening investor caution. Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, potentially disrupting global oil supplies.

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India's Sensex and Nifty continued to decline on March 5 amid persistent uncertainties from the Iran conflict, surging crude prices, and fears of escalation, compounding the sharp initial drop earlier in the week. Retail investors saw mutual fund and stock portfolios turn negative, prompting advice on navigating wartime volatility.

Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

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India's stock markets opened higher on Monday, with the Sensex gaining 87.45 points to 83,965.62 and the Nifty rising 39.40 points to 25,829.70 as of 9:23 am. Eternal IT shares were up 3%. The headline suggested a larger Sensex gain of over 250 points, but the reported figure was lower.

As the US-Israel-Iran conflict escalates following February 28 strikes and weekend retaliation—including the reported death of Ayatollah Khamenei—the Strait of Hormuz has closed, pushing oil prices to new highs and intensifying market volatility. Updated casualties exceed 740, while analysts predict inflation spikes and delayed rate cuts. Mexico sees sharp peso depreciation and stock plunges.

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The price of Brent Crude Oil has risen to nearly 84 dollars per barrel amid ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This surge marks the highest level since July 2024 and raises concerns about potential supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts warn that the escalation could compound global inflation risks.

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