Silver and gold form basis for bull trend restart

Silver and gold prices remain hesitant amid ongoing market confusion but show signs of building support for a potential longer-term uptrend.

Metals have traded in uncertainty since the start of recent conflicts, influenced by inflation and shifting price dynamics. Sellers appear to be losing momentum after failing to push prices lower, though clear breakouts are still needed to confirm any rally.

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Illustration of Asian stock traders reacting to falling markets amid US-Iran tensions and rising oil prices.
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Asia shares slip amid escalating US-Iran tensions

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Global markets tumbled as US-Iran tensions and prolonged Israeli conflict drove oil prices higher. Asian shares and futures dipped, with investors preparing for extended fighting. The inflationary pressures have reduced expectations for central bank rate cuts.

Silver and gold prices rose on Wednesday following the Federal Reserve's meeting and other central bank announcements. The uptick came as oil prices and the US dollar weakened. Metals gained traction amid broader strength in risk assets.

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Gold prices have fallen unexpectedly amid escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia, diverging from their traditional safe-haven role. A strong U.S. dollar, rising Treasury yields, and profit-taking after recent gains are key factors suppressing prices. Analysts note a choppy near-term outlook but constructive long-term prospects.

Gold prices on India's MCX dropped sharply by Rs 3,000 per 10 grams as investors adopted a cautious stance before the US Federal Reserve policy meeting. Factors including profit booking in global markets, rising oil prices, and ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia contributed to the volatility in bullion trading. Analysts advise a sell-on-rise strategy amid these conditions.

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Analysts indicate that bitcoin's market bottom could be approaching when valued against gold, potentially as soon as next month. This view contrasts with longer-term dollar-based forecasts extending into late 2026. Factors like global uncertainty and ETF outflows have pressured bitcoin relative to gold's recent gains.

Bitcoin has bounced back modestly after flirting with US$60,000 last week, following a roughly 50% drop from its October 2025 high. Altcoins continue to underperform as investors shift capital toward AI stocks and more durable crypto assets. This rotation reflects broader market caution amid hawkish Federal Reserve expectations and economic uncertainties.

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Gold jeweller stocks surged on Monday amid reports of reduced precious metal import prices and positive business updates. Companies such as Senco Gold and PC Jeweller posted significant year-on-year revenue growth. Analysts expect continued demand from the upcoming wedding season and festivals.

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