Dynamic split-view illustration of Broncos as AFC No. 1 seed and Packers as NFC North favorites in NFL playoff simulations.
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NFL playoff simulation update: Broncos No. 1 AFC seed, Packers NFC North favorites

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Updating our Week 16 playoff coverage: SportsLine simulations of the NFL's final three weeks project the Denver Broncos as AFC top seed and Green Bay Packers as NFC North winners. Building on current clinchers (Rams, Broncos) and nine potential Week 16 berths, tight races persist amid key remaining schedules.

SportsLine's Stephen Oh ran simulations of the 2025 NFL season's final three weeks to project the 14-team playoff bracket, complementing latest odds and clinching scenarios.

AFC Projections: Broncos (12-2) as No. 1 seed and West champs (14.6% Super Bowl odds), clinchable with 2-1 finish. Patriots (11-3) 59.7% East favorites; Jaguars (10-4) 50% South edge; Steelers lead North (65.9%). Wild cards: Bills (10-4), Chargers (10-4), Texans (92.6% playoffs). Projected wild-card: Texans at Patriots, Chargers at Jaguars, Bills at Steelers; Broncos bye.

NFC Projections: Rams (11-3) top seed (56% West); Packers (9-4-1) 48.5% North favorites despite injuries; Eagles (9-5) East clinch imminent; Buccaneers (7-7) 75.2% South. Wild cards: Seahawks (11-3), 49ers (10-4), Bears (80.8% playoffs). Projected: Bears at Packers, 49ers at Eagles, Seahawks at Buccaneers; Rams bye.

Outcomes depend on Week 16 results, including Broncos vs. Jaguars and Rams vs. Seahawks.

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X discussions highlight SportsLine simulations projecting Broncos as AFC top seed and Packers as NFC North favorites, with users sharing similar projections. Broncos fans celebrate their current #1 seed and win over Packers, expressing frustration over pre-game underdog status. Packers supporters remain confident despite the matchup.

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Dramatic NFL Week 17 illustration depicting playoff and draft battles with Giants, Raiders, Broncos, and Seahawks in action.
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NFL Week 17 brings high stakes for playoffs and draft

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With two weeks remaining in the 2025 NFL regular season, seven division titles and four playoff spots remain undecided. Key matchups on Christmas Day and throughout the weekend could reshape the postseason picture, while the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders vie for the top 2026 draft pick. Simulations project the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks as likely No. 1 seeds in their conferences.

Updating our Week 16 preview: The Broncos (12-2) and Rams (11-3) have clinched playoffs, while nine other teams eye berths this weekend. New odds highlight favorites, with Broncos at 73% for AFC's No. 1 seed and near-certainties for many contenders.

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The final week of the NFL regular season arrives with significant uncertainty, as four divisions remain unclinched and only one playoff seed is locked in. Two spots in the postseason are still available, setting the stage for dramatic outcomes across both conferences. Key matchups on Saturday and Sunday will determine champions, top seeds, and wild-card positioning.

With two weeks remaining in the 2025 NFL regular season, the NFC playoff picture remains fluid, particularly in the South division and for the top seed. The Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will decide the NFC South title in their Week 18 matchup, while the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers vie for the No. 1 overall seed. Several teams have already clinched postseason berths, but key spots and byes are still contested.

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In the pivotal Week 16 of the 2025 NFL season—with clinching opportunities for multiple teams detailed in our prior coverage—CBS Sports and SportsLine experts deliver predictions and best bets. Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook feature spreads like Bills (-10) vs. Browns and Ravens (-3) vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football.

Amid tight Week 18 races in the AFC North and NFC South, as previewed earlier, NFL rules ensure division champions host wild-card games—even at .500 records—rewarding competition and rivalries over pure win-loss standings.

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Following the Green Bay Packers' 34-26 Week 15 defeat to the Denver Broncos—detailed in prior coverage—the team's playoff hopes have further dimmed with additional injuries compounding the losses of Micah Parsons (torn ACL) and Christian Watson. Green Bay has dropped to No. 10 in power rankings and seventh in NFC standings, while Denver eyes the AFC's top seed.

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