John Breech's NFL Week 18 picks highlight playoff seeding battles

CBS Sports analyst John Breech has released his predictions for the NFL's final regular-season week, focusing on the two remaining playoff spots and seeding implications. With no clinched seeds in the AFC except one in the NFC, Breech anticipates a chaotic weekend featuring games like the 49ers versus Seahawks for the NFC's top seed. He warns that Week 18's unpredictability stems from teams potentially resting starters.

The NFL enters its regular-season finale with high stakes, as Breech notes in his weekly picks column. Only two playoff berths remain unclaimed, and none of the seven AFC seeds are locked in, while the Packers hold the NFC's seventh spot. Breech describes the week as a 'drunken crapshoot' due to uncertainties over which players will participate.

In a marquee Saturday matchup, the 12-4 49ers host the 13-3 Seahawks at 8 p.m. ET, with the winner securing the NFC West title and No. 1 seed, earning a playoff bye. Breech picks San Francisco 27-24, citing Brock Purdy's recent hot streak averaging 242.3 passing yards since Week 11, compared to Sam Darnold's 226.9. He sticks with his preseason choice of the 49ers for the top seed, emphasizing the advantage: since 2020, No. 1 seeds have reached the Super Bowl 50% of the time.

Earlier Saturday, the 8-8 Panthers visit the 7-9 Buccaneers at 4:30 p.m. ET in a tangled NFC South race complicated by the Falcons' Monday win. A Buccaneers victory might not clinch the division due to potential three-way tie, but Breech favors Tampa Bay 23-20 at home, where Carolina is 0-5 this decade. He doubts Baker Mayfield's form, noting eight interceptions in his last seven games versus 16 touchdowns in the first nine.

Sunday features the Jaguars (12-4) hosting the 3-13 Titans at 1 p.m. ET to clinch the AFC South; Breech sees Jacksonville 31-13, praising Trevor Lawrence's emergence after early struggles. The 8-8 Ravens at 9-7 Steelers (8:20 p.m. ET) could decide AFC North seeding, with Breech picking Baltimore 23-20 despite Lamar Jackson's back injury. Other picks include Broncos 27-13 over resting Chargers, Rams 31-20 over Cardinals, and quick forecasts like Falcons 24-17 over Saints.

Breech's overall straight-up record stands at 157-98-1 after going 9-7 last week.

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Illustration depicting NFL Week 18 key games: Patriots vs. Dolphins, Jaguars vs. Titans, Eagles vs. Commanders in high-stakes playoff seeding battles.
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NFL Week 18 features pivotal playoff seeding battles

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The NFL regular season concludes on January 4, 2025, with Week 18 matchups that will finalize playoff seeds and division titles across both conferences. Key games include the Patriots seeking the AFC's top seed against the Dolphins, the Jaguars aiming to clinch the AFC South over the Titans, and the Eagles pursuing the NFC's No. 2 seed versus the Commanders. Analysts predict competitive finishes, with several underdogs poised to cover spreads amid resting starters and injury concerns.

The final week of the NFL regular season arrives with significant uncertainty, as four divisions remain unclinched and only one playoff seed is locked in. Two spots in the postseason are still available, setting the stage for dramatic outcomes across both conferences. Key matchups on Saturday and Sunday will determine champions, top seeds, and wild-card positioning.

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In the pivotal Week 16 of the 2025 NFL season—with clinching opportunities for multiple teams detailed in our prior coverage—CBS Sports and SportsLine experts deliver predictions and best bets. Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook feature spreads like Bills (-10) vs. Browns and Ravens (-3) vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football.

Updating our Week 16 preview: The Broncos (12-2) and Rams (11-3) have clinched playoffs, while nine other teams eye berths this weekend. New odds highlight favorites, with Broncos at 73% for AFC's No. 1 seed and near-certainties for many contenders.

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As the 2026 NFL playoffs begin with Wild Card Weekend, projection models have outlined the most favorable routes for each AFC and NFC team to reach Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara on February 8. The Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks lead as top seeds with strong simulation odds, while underdogs like the Houston Texans emerge as dark horses based on championship trends. Analysts highlight quarterback performances and matchup advantages as key factors in the wide-open tournament.

Amid tight Week 18 races in the AFC North and NFC South, as previewed earlier, NFL rules ensure division champions host wild-card games—even at .500 records—rewarding competition and rivalries over pure win-loss standings.

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The Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams became the first teams to secure postseason berths this season after Week 15 games. The Kansas City Chiefs were eliminated from playoff contention following a 16-13 defeat to the Los Angeles Chargers. Both clinching teams are positioned as favorites for the top seeds in their conferences.

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