USMCA review unsettles fashion sourcing from Mexico

Uncertainty surrounding the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement has complicated efforts by US fashion companies to shift apparel production away from China toward Mexico. The pact's first mandatory review this month left the deal in force but triggered annual negotiations. Industry leaders now question the stability of regional supply chains.

The United States declined to reaffirm the USMCA in its current form during the review. President Donald Trump had criticized shortcomings in the agreement he originally brokered, along with trade imbalances involving Canada and Mexico. The three nations are now engaged in ongoing talks, with the US and Mexico set to hold a third round this week.

A recent survey found that only 31.6 percent of leading US fashion companies sourced apparel from Mexico this year, down from 52.9 percent in 2025. Just 33 percent plan to increase such sourcing over the next two years. Companies continue to value Mexico for speed to market and duty savings, yet policy volatility is limiting new investments.

Steve Lamar of the American Apparel & Footwear Association noted that firms are maintaining ties with China due to a lack of predictable alternatives. Kim Glas of the National Council of Textile Organizations warned that the review process injects uncertainty into an industry already facing plant closures.

Industry groups across the US, Mexico, and Canada have urged negotiators to keep the agreement trilateral and preserve existing rules of origin for textiles and apparel. Smaller brands report particular difficulty navigating the requirements when key fabrics remain unavailable in North America.

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Busy border crossing with trucks and flags illustrating record Mexican exports to the US
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Mexican exports to US hit record in May amid USMCA annual reviews

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Mexican exports to the United States reached a record 54.179 billion dollars in May, up 17.5 percent year-over-year, according to US Census Bureau data. Mexico solidified its position as the top US trading partner. The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) was not renewed on July 1 and will undergo annual reviews for the next ten years.

Donald Trump's government decided on July 1 not to automatically extend the T-MEC for another 16 years. Instead, annual reviews of the trade agreement will take place while it remains in force until 2036. The first review meeting is scheduled for July 20 in Mexico City.

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Formal talks to review the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement start next Wednesday. Mexico aims to sidestep electoral pressures and focus on regional economic stability.

Mexico, the United States and Canada will hold a virtual meeting on July 1 to define the future of the T-MEC. Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard and President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed that each country will present its position on extending the treaty that day.

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The three countries are on track to miss the July 1 deadline to extend the trade pact for 16 years, triggering ongoing annual reviews.

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