Variety releases predictions for 2026 Oscars best film editing

Variety has updated its predictions for the best film editing category at the 2026 Oscars, highlighting films like F1, Sinners, One Battle After Another, Hamnet, and Sentimental Value. The list reflects current buzz in the awards race, curated by chief awards editor Clayton Davis and updated every Thursday. This year's contenders showcase diverse approaches to cinematic rhythm amid the category's historical ties to best picture winners.

The predictions, published on January 5, 2026, underscore the enduring link between the best film editing Oscar—introduced in 1934—and the best picture race. From 1981 through 2013, every best picture winner received an editing nomination, a 33-year streak that established the category as a key predictor. Approximately two-thirds of best picture winners have also claimed the editing award.

Exceptions in the expanded best picture era include Birdman in 2014 and CODA in 2021, both of which triumphed without editing nods. This season's editing contenders demonstrate varied philosophies of pacing and structure. Hamnet and Marty Supreme stand out due to their directors' involvement: Josh Safdie and Chloé Zhao co-edited their respective films, a rare feat. Only three directors have won the editing Oscar—James Cameron for Titanic, Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity, and Sean Baker for Anora—while others like David Lean, the Coen brothers (as Roderick Jaynes), and Zhao have earned nominations.

Editing's correlation with sound categories remains strong since 2013, though it has weakened recently. Films such as Gravity, Mad Max: Fury Road, Dunkirk, and Bohemian Rhapsody swept both during the split-sound era. Partial overlaps occurred with Hacksaw Ridge in 2016 and Ford v Ferrari in 2019. More lately, Everything Everywhere All at Once won editing in 2022 without a sound nomination, Oppenheimer took editing in 2023 but lost sound to The Zone of Interest, and Anora secured editing last year without sound while Dune: Part Two won sound.

F1 emerges as a frontrunner, bolstered by its Critics Choice Award for editing, commercial success, and wide appeal. It could challenge for a best picture nomination if guild support persists. All predictions are subject to change based on evolving buzz, with final determinations by the Academy.

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Variety updates 2026 Oscars predictions in key categories

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Variety has released its latest predictions for the 2026 Academy Awards, focusing on competitive fields like best documentary feature and best cinematography. Standouts include Geeta Gandbhir's 'The Perfect Neighbor' as an early frontrunner in documentaries and Autumn Durald Arkapaw's work on 'Sinners' in cinematography. These updates, published around November 11, 2025, capture the fluid race amid festivals like DOC NYC.

Variety has released its latest predictions for the 2026 Oscars acting races, highlighting tight competitions in Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Supporting Actor. The forecasts, updated on January 20, 2026, reflect recent precursor awards and ongoing buzz. Nominations will be announced on January 22, with the ceremony set for March 15 at the Dolby Theatre.

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The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences has announced the shortlists for the 2026 Oscars in 12 categories, including international feature, original score, and cinematography. Notable films advancing include 'Sinners,' 'Frankenstein,' and 'Wicked: For Good,' with strong showings from distributors like Neon and female directors. These shortlists narrow down contenders from hundreds of submissions to a select group eligible for nominations.

The 2026 European Film Awards took place in Berlin on January 17, crowning Sentimental Value as best film with five additional wins. The ceremony, shifted to January for better alignment with the global awards season, featured overlaps with potential Oscar contenders. Filmmaker Jafar Panahi opened with a poignant plea against oppression in Iran.

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Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another has won best picture at the National Society of Film Critics' 60th annual awards for 2025. The film also secured best director, supporting actress and supporting actor honors. Voting took place on January 3, 2026, among more than 60 prominent critics.

The Los Angeles Film Critics Association has named Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another as the best picture of 2025, with the film also securing awards for director and supporting performance. Rose Byrne and Ethan Hawke shared the leading performance prize, while other categories highlighted international and independent cinema. The awards, marking the group's 51st year, often predict Oscar success.

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Variety has released its predictions for the media industry in 2026, forecasting Christopher Nolan's 'The Odyssey' as the year's biggest box office hit and Netflix securing a major deal for Warner Bros. Discovery. The report also anticipates leadership changes at Disney and ongoing battles over artificial intelligence in entertainment.

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