Bitcoin options traders target $100,000 strike after rebound

Traders in the Bitcoin options market are focusing on contracts that could see the cryptocurrency return to $100,000, buoyed by hopes of renewed investor interest following a sharp fourth-quarter decline. Data from a major derivatives exchange highlights significant open interest in these optimistic positions.

The cryptocurrency market experienced a notable crash in the fourth quarter of 2025, prompting a rebound that has caught the attention of options traders. According to recent market data, open interest in Bitcoin options is heavily concentrated on contracts set to expire on January 30, 2026, with a strike price of $100,000. This positioning reflects trader optimism that Bitcoin could reclaim its previous highs as investors pivot back to digital assets.

The total notional value of these $100,000 call options surpasses that of the next most active contract by more than double. That secondary contract consists of put options at an $80,000 strike price, also expiring on the same date. This disparity underscores a prevailing bullish sentiment among market participants.

The insights come from Coinbase Global Inc.'s Deribit derivatives exchange, a key platform for crypto futures and options trading. While the fourth-quarter meltdown shook confidence, the clustering of interest at higher strike prices suggests traders anticipate a recovery driven by broader market dynamics.

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Trading floor screens show Bitcoin dipping to $92,000 amid U.S. stocks rising and ETF inflows, January 6, 2026.
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Bitcoin retreats to $92,000 during U.S. trading session

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Bitcoin fell back to just above $92,000 on January 6, 2026, erasing early gains amid a return to downward pressure during U.S. trading hours. The pullback occurred as U.S. stocks rose modestly and precious metals surged, with spot Bitcoin ETFs recording significant inflows. Despite the decline, futures open interest reached highs, signaling ongoing market interest.

Bitcoin's options market, with open interest near $55.76 billion, shows heavy concentration around a December 26, 2025, expiry date and $100,000 strike levels. This positioning influences hedging activities and potential market flows as the spot price hovers around $92,480. Traders and dealers are closely watching these levels for impacts on liquidity and price movements.

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Building on mid-week weakness and gold's record surge, Bitcoin's price stayed suppressed below $90,000 amid a $300 million gamma options expiry on December 26, 2025, unleashing potential for sharp moves. Over $28 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expired on Deribit, amplifying crash risks, with technical patterns signaling further downside.

Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen has cautioned traders against trying to manufacture a bull market, pointing to declining market breadth indicators. Bitcoin reached highs above $126,000 in 2025 before pulling back to the $90,000 range amid macroeconomic uncertainty. A recent report highlights reduced activity in options markets for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

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Despite cooling U.S. inflation and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Bitcoin's price has remained stuck in a narrow range around the $80,000s. Traders are focusing more on real yields, liquidity conditions, and ETF flows rather than headline economic data. This shift highlights how structural factors are now dominating the cryptocurrency's price action.

Bitcoin traded below $89,000 on December 14, 2025, erasing gains from the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut as markets braced for the Bank of Japan's policy meeting. Traders cited concerns over a potential yen carry trade unwind and upcoming U.S. economic data. Ether showed weekly strength, while most altcoins declined.

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Bitcoin's price climbed to $88,000 following the Bank of Japan's interest rate increase to its highest level in 30 years. Despite expectations of a risk-off move, the hike did not trigger a flight to the yen, with futures traders instead piling into leveraged long positions. Ether outperformed bitcoin amid broader altcoin weakness.

 

 

 

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