China's early 2026 economic data beats forecasts

China's first batch of hard economic activity data for 2026 exceeded downbeat forecasts, reports Seeking Alpha. Analysts note more work is required to support domestic growth amid rising inflation risks.

China released its initial hard economic activity figures for 2026, surpassing the rather downbeat expectations, according to a Seeking Alpha analysis by Lynn Song, Chief Economist, Greater China. The data provides some relief after a period of soft domestic demand, partly driven by a protracted downturn in the property sector. Property prices continued to decline, though at a slower pace than before, highlighting ongoing challenges in this key area of the economy. Song emphasizes that further efforts are needed to bolster the domestic economy and meet this year's growth targets, especially with inflation risks picking up. Attention now turns to upcoming policy measures in China and their adequacy in achieving these goals. For the time being, the firm holds its forecast of 4.6% year-over-year GDP growth for 2026.

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Realistic illustration showing India's economic growth with cityscape and financial symbols amid global challenges.
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India's economy grows 7.7 per cent in 2025-26 amid global shocks

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Provisional GDP estimates released on Friday show 7.7 per cent growth for 2025-26. The figure exceeds the government's February prediction by 0.1 percentage points. Outlook for 2026-27 points to a slowdown.

China's economy posted a steady recovery in the first four months of 2026, with key indicators rebounding and new growth drivers gaining momentum.

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Hong Kong's economy expanded 5.9% year-on-year in Q1 2026, its fastest quarterly growth in nearly five years and surpassing Financial Secretary Paul Chan's forecast of over 4%. Driven by private consumption and government spending despite Middle East tensions, the advance estimate from the Census and Statistics Department exceeded the 4% rise in Q4 2025. A government spokesman highlighted a positive outlook but noted regional risks.

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