Illustrative photo of Elon Musk tweeting dismissal of Waymo amid Tesla's robotaxi launch plans in Austin.
Illustrative photo of Elon Musk tweeting dismissal of Waymo amid Tesla's robotaxi launch plans in Austin.
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Elon Musk claims Waymo never had a chance against Tesla

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk dismissed Alphabet's Waymo as a competitor in autonomous driving, stating on X that it 'never really had a chance' against Tesla. The comment responded to Google DeepMind Chief Scientist Jeff Dean's highlight of Waymo's superior rider-only autonomous miles. Musk's remark comes amid Tesla's plans to launch unsupervised robotaxis in Austin soon.

On December 10, 2025, Elon Musk posted on X, replying to Jeff Dean's observation about the disparity in autonomous driving experience. Dean noted that Tesla lacks the volume of rider-only autonomous miles compared to Waymo, which has reached approximately 100 million such miles as of recent data. He described Waymo's safety data as compelling.

Musk responded: "Waymo never really had a chance against Tesla. This will be obvious in hindsight."

This exchange highlights the ongoing rivalry between the two leaders in U.S. self-driving technology. Waymo, owned by Alphabet, operates fully driverless commercial services in cities including San Francisco, Phoenix, Los Angeles, and Austin. Its latest safety report shows a 91% reduction in serious injury-causing crashes compared to human drivers.

In contrast, Tesla's robotaxi service, launched in Austin on June 22, 2025, still requires safety monitors. In Austin, monitors occupy the passenger seat on local roads and the driver's seat on highways; in the Bay Area, a monitor is always in the driver's seat. Tesla has logged over 550,000 robotaxi miles, but none are rider-only without supervision.

Musk reiterated plans to remove safety monitors from Austin operations within three weeks, stating, "Unsupervised is pretty much solved at this point. So there will be Tesla Robotaxis operating in Austin with no one in them... in about three weeks." This would align with his earlier promises from September, October, and November to achieve unsupervised rides by year's end.

Tesla employs a vision-only approach, differing from Waymo's use of LiDAR, which Musk has previously called a 'fool's errand.' Tesla aims for global scalability through over-the-air updates on its existing fleet, while Waymo focuses on dedicated vehicles in major cities. Tesla's safety reports have faced criticism for comparing supervised Full Self-Driving to human drivers without granular injury data.

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Reactions on X to Elon Musk's claim that Waymo 'never really had a chance' against Tesla are polarized. Tesla enthusiasts highlight Tesla's massive data scale, lower costs, vision-only AI, and fleet size as unbeatable advantages. Skeptics and Waymo supporters emphasize Waymo's lead in fully driverless miles (96M+), safety data, and operational robotaxis today, calling Musk's statement delusional. High engagement around Musk's original post and analyses.

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Illustration of Tesla's unsupervised Robotaxi driving riderless through Dallas streets during launch in Texas cities Austin, Dallas, and Houston.
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Tesla launches unsupervised Robotaxi service in Austin, Dallas, and Houston

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Tesla has launched unsupervised Robotaxi rides in Austin, Dallas, and Houston, Texas, with the service expanding to Dallas and Houston on April 18. Geofenced areas are active in Houston's Jersey Village neighborhood and Dallas' Highland Park, as shown in maps shared on X. A regular customer ride was confirmed in Dallas shortly after rollout, and Tesla showcased a 360-degree view of a ride without onboard safety monitors.

Tesla reported no at-fault crashes for its robotaxis in the latest NHTSA data. The absence of incidents reflects a small active fleet rather than scaled operations. Live tracking shows just 14 unsupervised vehicles in use across markets.

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Tesla's autonomous Robotaxi fleet in Austin has completed four months without any collisions caused by its Full Self-Driving software. Data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration shows the streak covers February through spring. Three minor incidents occurred in that period, but all resulted from other drivers hitting stationary vehicles.

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