Illustrative photo of Elon Musk tweeting dismissal of Waymo amid Tesla's robotaxi launch plans in Austin.
Illustrative photo of Elon Musk tweeting dismissal of Waymo amid Tesla's robotaxi launch plans in Austin.
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Elon Musk claims Waymo never had a chance against Tesla

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk dismissed Alphabet's Waymo as a competitor in autonomous driving, stating on X that it 'never really had a chance' against Tesla. The comment responded to Google DeepMind Chief Scientist Jeff Dean's highlight of Waymo's superior rider-only autonomous miles. Musk's remark comes amid Tesla's plans to launch unsupervised robotaxis in Austin soon.

On December 10, 2025, Elon Musk posted on X, replying to Jeff Dean's observation about the disparity in autonomous driving experience. Dean noted that Tesla lacks the volume of rider-only autonomous miles compared to Waymo, which has reached approximately 100 million such miles as of recent data. He described Waymo's safety data as compelling.

Musk responded: "Waymo never really had a chance against Tesla. This will be obvious in hindsight."

This exchange highlights the ongoing rivalry between the two leaders in U.S. self-driving technology. Waymo, owned by Alphabet, operates fully driverless commercial services in cities including San Francisco, Phoenix, Los Angeles, and Austin. Its latest safety report shows a 91% reduction in serious injury-causing crashes compared to human drivers.

In contrast, Tesla's robotaxi service, launched in Austin on June 22, 2025, still requires safety monitors. In Austin, monitors occupy the passenger seat on local roads and the driver's seat on highways; in the Bay Area, a monitor is always in the driver's seat. Tesla has logged over 550,000 robotaxi miles, but none are rider-only without supervision.

Musk reiterated plans to remove safety monitors from Austin operations within three weeks, stating, "Unsupervised is pretty much solved at this point. So there will be Tesla Robotaxis operating in Austin with no one in them... in about three weeks." This would align with his earlier promises from September, October, and November to achieve unsupervised rides by year's end.

Tesla employs a vision-only approach, differing from Waymo's use of LiDAR, which Musk has previously called a 'fool's errand.' Tesla aims for global scalability through over-the-air updates on its existing fleet, while Waymo focuses on dedicated vehicles in major cities. Tesla's safety reports have faced criticism for comparing supervised Full Self-Driving to human drivers without granular injury data.

Cosa dice la gente

Reactions on X to Elon Musk's claim that Waymo 'never really had a chance' against Tesla are polarized. Tesla enthusiasts highlight Tesla's massive data scale, lower costs, vision-only AI, and fleet size as unbeatable advantages. Skeptics and Waymo supporters emphasize Waymo's lead in fully driverless miles (96M+), safety data, and operational robotaxis today, calling Musk's statement delusional. High engagement around Musk's original post and analyses.

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A Jefferies analysis found Tesla's robotaxis in Austin cheaper than Uber but with longer wait times and suboptimal routes. The firm noted most rides still require safety monitors. Meanwhile, Tesla has made no progress toward driverless approvals in California.

Tesla has begun offering public robotaxi rides in Austin, Texas, without safety monitors in the vehicles, marking a milestone in its autonomous driving efforts. The company announced the change on January 22, 2026, starting with a small number of unsupervised cars mixed into the fleet. This follows years of promises from CEO Elon Musk and comes amid competition from rivals like Waymo.

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Tesla has begun operating robotaxis in Austin, Texas, without safety monitors inside the vehicles, according to CEO Elon Musk. However, videos suggest that supervision continues via following chase cars. This development raises questions about the extent of true autonomy in the service.

Following Tesla's January 22, 2026, announcement of unsupervised robotaxi rides in Austin—a claim covered in prior reporting—riders report no such experiences a week later amid service disruptions from an ice storm and ahead of Q4 earnings. Bay Area operations face legal barriers, fueling doubts amid absent evidence.

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Elon Musk's bold predictions for Tesla's robotaxi service and full self-driving technology largely failed to materialize by the end of 2025. While a limited launch occurred in Austin, safety drivers persisted, and expansion fell far below expectations. Looking ahead, Musk anticipates widespread robotaxi deployment in 2026.

Tesla has started test drives for its Robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, labeling them as unsupervised. However, reports indicate that human monitors are still involved, following the vehicles from trailing cars. Critics argue this setup introduces new safety risks by potentially overburdening remote supervisors.

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Waymo, Alphabet's autonomous vehicle subsidiary, has officially opened its driverless robotaxi service to the public in Miami, marking its sixth U.S. market. The launch on January 22, 2026, covers key urban areas and highlights the company's lead over competitors like Tesla. Initial access is limited to about 10,000 pre-registered users via the Waymo app.

 

 

 

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