Two weeks after Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's controversial Taiwan remarks ignited tensions, China has escalated with diplomatic, economic, and military pressures. Tokyo refuses to back down, and analysts warn the standoff's length hinges on the US-China-Japan triangle.
The dispute, which began with Takaichi's comments drawing Beijing's ire, has plunged China-Japan ties into deeper turmoil. China views the remarks as emblematic of Japan's assertiveness on regional security and tightening US alliances, prompting retaliatory measures to apply pressure.
Takaichi has stood firm despite Beijing's demands, highlighting core divisions over Taiwan, which China claims as its territory. While initial reactions focused on risks of Japanese militarism revival and economic fallout like tourism slumps, the current phase emphasizes sustained confrontation.
Experts such as Japan's Kei Koga and China's Ni Lexiong and Lian Degui argue the feud's intensity depends on US support for Japan. Recent military cooperation, including Patriot missile acquisitions under the Biden administration, has heightened Beijing's concerns. If Washington continues backing Tokyo, the standoff could endure.
This episode interconnects with wider dynamics, including South China Sea disputes and Japan's pacts with Australia, the Philippines, and South Korea. Beijing aims to check Japan's regional ambitions, but Tokyo prioritizes stability through alliances.