Lowy Institute report warns of growing Chinese missile threat to Australia

An Australian think tank has assessed that China poses a growing direct missile strike risk to Australia. The Lowy Institute report highlights threats from missiles launched by ships, submarines and a new ballistic system.

The report, released on Sunday, states that China can strike Australia directly with long-range and hypersonic weapons. It identifies missiles fired from naval platforms and the DF-27 ballistic missile as the primary concerns.

The DF-27 has a range of 5,000km to 8,000km, according to the US military. Beijing's accumulation of such weapons and construction of islands in the South China Sea are cited as factors increasing the threat.

The Lowy Institute analysis focuses on capabilities rather than immediate intentions. It draws on assessments of Chinese military developments in the region.

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Five Chinese navy ships transited the Tsushima Strait and headed northeast into the Sea of Japan, coinciding with Japan's Ground Self-Defence Force deploying new Type 25 long-range surface-to-ship guided missiles and hypervelocity gliding projectiles. Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning condemned the deployments as 'neo-militarism' and expressed serious concern.

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China faces calls to accelerate upgrades to its aircraft carrier fleet following Japan's recent military exercises. Experts point to a shortage of stealth fighters as a key vulnerability.

Australian Ambassador Jeff Robinson told Yonhap News Agency on April 12 that South Korea's nuclear-powered submarine drive and Australia's AUKUS program are separate but proceeding in parallel. He stressed that both must build international trust in their peaceful intentions. Robinson also highlighted shared energy security challenges amid the Middle East crisis and deepening defense ties.

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China's foreign ministry has warned the United Nations that Japan has mastered the ability to extract weapons-grade plutonium, urging the body to prioritise Tokyo's dangerous tendency to seek nuclear weapons. Beijing stated that allowing Japanese right-wing forces to push for nuclear arms would harm international peace. The warning comes amid escalating regional tensions.

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