Polri estimates 143 million people for 2026 Lebaran mudik

Polri estimates about 143 million people, or 50 percent of Indonesia's population, will travel for Idul Fitri 2026. Wakapolri General Dedi Prasetyo stated that Polri will deploy over 161,000 personnel, alongside TNI for a total of 389,681, in Operation Ketupat to secure mudik flows.

Polri and TNI are deploying 389,681 combined personnel for Operation Ketupat 2026 to ensure smooth Idul Fitri mudik across Indonesia. Wakapolri General Dedi Prasetyo stated that the peak mudik flow is expected on March 14, 2026. "Hundreds of thousands of personnel will be placed at various strategic points to anticipate traffic jams, traffic accidents, and potential security disturbances during the mudik period until the Idul Fitri celebration," Dedi said at Polri Headquarters in Jakarta on Wednesday (March 11, 2026).

Polri is preparing over 161,000 personnel, with the establishment of 2,746 security posts consisting of 1,624 security posts, 779 service posts, and 343 integrated posts. These posts are spread across main mudik routes, rest areas, terminals, stations, ports, airports, tourist areas, and places of worship. To manage traffic, Polri is implementing conventional engineering such as one way and contra flow.

Polri's Head of Public Relations Division Inspector General Jhonny Eddizon Isir added that the operation runs until March 25, 2026, with possible extension to March 28. Personnel are focused on securing 185,544 objects, including 121 mosques, 54,516 Idul Fitri prayer locations, 4,640 tourist sites, 2,962 shopping centers, 618 terminals, 562 ports, 268 train stations, and 182 airports.

Additionally, Polri is enhancing the 110 emergency service for quick responses to accidents or security issues during mudik. "We want to ensure that the presence of police can be felt right in the palm of your hand through the 110 service," Dedi said during a press conference at the KSP Office on March 11, 2026. Coordinating Minister for Human Development and Culture Pratikno emphasized the importance of integrating public services across ministries for successful national mudik management.

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Busy toll highway traffic leaving Jakarta during Mudik 2026, under police control with cars and motorbikes amid mild congestion.
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Mudik traffic increases but remains under control

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Indonesia's traffic police report rising vehicles leaving Jakarta on day five of Operasi Ketupat 2026, with 28 percent of the projected 3.5 million vehicles departed. Overall traffic remains manageable despite some congestion.

Indonesia's traffic police report that 42 percent of Lebaran 2026 holiday vehicles have not yet entered Jakarta. Chief Agus Suryonugroho said security continues via enhanced routine activities despite the closure of Operation Ketupat. A second return peak is expected on March 29, 2026.

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Indonesia's traffic police chief Irjen Pol Agus Suryonugroho said Lebaran 2026 mudik and return flows were under control, with fatalities down 30%. No notable security incidents occurred. Traffic accidents during Operasi Ketupat and KRYD fell 7%.

The determination of Idul Fitri 1447 Hijriyah in 2026 is predicted to differ between the government and Muhammadiyah. The Ministry of Religious Affairs estimates the holiday on March 21, while Muhammadiyah sets it on March 20. The difference stems from calculations of the crescent moon's position at the end of Ramadan.

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Transport Minister Dudy Purwagandhi urged returnees to avoid peak Lebaran traffic on March 24, 28, and 29, 2026, by using work from anywhere (WFA) on March 25-27. One-way national traffic engineering started on March 24 from Kalikangkung Toll Gate to Cikampek Utama.

Religious Affairs Minister Nasaruddin Umar announced the hilal for 1 Syawal 1447 H was not sighted at 117 observation points from Papua to Aceh. The decision followed Sidang Isbat using hisab and rukyat not meeting MABIMS criteria. Idul Fitri or Lebaran falls on Saturday, March 21, 2026.

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Lebaran 2026 return traffic from Sumatra to Java surges, recording 327,646 passengers and 89,389 vehicles by March 25. PT ASDP Indonesia Ferry ensures smooth ferry services, while the government runs a free ride program for safety.

 

 

 

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