Prediction markets remain popular in Hong Kong despite warnings

Residents in Hong Kong continue to use platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi for bets on politics and other topics even after official warnings.

A 25-year-old French resident named Jean Pierre began using Polymarket last year seeking easy money. He placed wagers on political events including whether Sanae Takaichi would become Japan’s prime minister and on short-term Bitcoin price movements.

Jean Pierre wagered about HK$1,500 over the past year and briefly reached HK$4,000 in winnings before losing it all. He described the activity as gambling because outcomes cannot be known in advance.

The platforms remain active among Hong Kong users despite prior official cautions ahead of the World Cup.

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Illustration of Spain blocking access to Polymarket and Kalshi prediction markets due to gambling regulations, featuring a blocked website on a screen with Spanish elements.
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Spain orders block on polymarket and kalshi over gambling laws

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Spain’s gambling regulator has ordered internet providers to block access to prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi. The move targets unlicensed betting products tied to future events. Proceedings against the companies are expected to last three to four months.

Hong Kong's government has suspended its plan to launch legal basketball betting, citing the rise of prediction markets. Home and Youth Affairs Minister Alice Mak Mei-kuen said the decision considers local circumstances and evolving external conditions to protect public interest. Former lawmaker Doreen Kong Yuk-foon called for predicting technological influences in future policy papers.

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South Korean police launched the country's first illegal gambling investigation into domestic Polymarket users on June 5. The probe targets residents who placed bets on June 3 local election outcomes using cryptocurrency transactions.

Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po reports that French investors are warming to Hong Kong again. The shift stems from the city’s strong market performance and an improved geopolitical climate, particularly after the recent summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

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Rhode Island's attorney general has sued prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, prompting a countersuit from Kalshi. The legal actions challenge the platforms' ability to offer sports-related event contracts in the state.

A Hong Kong woman lost more than HK$1 million after being lured into a fraudulent cryptocurrency scheme through a fake artificial intelligence-powered trading app. Police recorded over 70 similar investment scams in the past week, with total losses exceeding HK$50 million.

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DraftKings disclosed strong early results for its Predictions platform on June 9. The company launched the offering in December 2025 and now reports an annualized trading run rate of $3.1 billion.

 

 

 

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