Russian LNG shipments to China surge 143% in November, overtaking Australia

Russia's liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments to China surged 142.6% year-on-year in November to 1.6 million tonnes, displacing Australia as the second-largest supplier after Qatar. This surge highlights deepening energy ties between the two nations amid Western sanctions. Analyst Xu Tianchen attributes the increase to the resumption of production at the Arctic LNG 2 project.

Russia’s shipments of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to China soared last month, consolidating Moscow’s role as the top energy supplier to the world’s second-largest economy even in the face of Western sanctions.

Imports of LNG from Russia surged 142.6 per cent, year on year, to 1.6 million tonnes, displacing Australia to become one of China’s top two biggest suppliers alongside Qatar last month, according to the latest customs data.

Russian LNG accounted for 23.5 per cent of China’s total shipments in November, more than doubling its 11 per cent share from a year prior.

Meanwhile, Australian shipments of LNG continued to slide, falling 33.6 per cent by volume in November. The decline left Australia with just 21.1 per cent of China’s total LNG imports – a sharp retreat from a year ago, when it was the top supplier with a 36 per cent market share.

“The changes are very much a supply-side story,” said Xu Tianchen, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

Xu attributed the surge to the resumption in recent months of production at the Arctic LNG 2 project on the Gydan Peninsula, which directs its entire output to China. The widely sanctioned Russian project had halted operations last year.

“It’s also an indication of China defying Western sanctions against Russian oil trade,” Xu said.

The increase comes after President Xi pledged deeper ties, cementing Russia as China’s top energy partner.

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Damaged Ras Laffan LNG facilities in Qatar after Iranian attack, with QatarEnergy CEO addressing the media amid smoke and wreckage.
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QatarEnergy eyes force majeure on LNG contracts after Iran attack damage

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Following Iran's attack on Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG facilities, QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi warned of declaring force majeure on long-term contracts, including those with South Korea's KOGAS, as repairs to damaged production trains could take three to five years, sidelining 17% of export capacity. South Korean officials downplayed supply risks due to alternatives.

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South Korean officials warned of increased LNG price volatility after Qatar reportedly declared force majeure on its long-term supply contract with the country, though supply impacts will be limited. Deputy Minister Yang Ghi-wuk said shipments from Qatar have already been excluded from this year's supply calculations, ensuring sufficiency. A Cheong Wa Dae official confirmed stable supplies from non-Middle Eastern routes.

The Philippines has approached Russia for possible oil imports amid global supply disruptions, Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said. Fuel inventories are sufficient until April, with talks ongoing with other exporters. The move responds to surging prices from Middle East tensions.

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Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi met U.S. President Donald Trump in Tokyo on October 28 for their first summit, informing him that Japan intends to continue importing Russian liquefied natural gas for the time being. The U.S. had urged Japan to end such imports to bolster sanctions on Russia, but Takaichi stressed the necessity due to risks of domestic power shortages. The meeting focused on strengthening bilateral ties and defense cooperation.

 

 

 

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