Illustration of Lula leading Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll with 40% to 31%.
Illustration of Lula leading Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll with 40% to 31%.
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Datafolha shows Lula at 40% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 31% in first round

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Datafolha survey released on Friday (22) points to an advantage for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva over Flávio Bolsonaro in the presidential race.

The survey polled 2,004 voters between May 20 and 21 and has a margin of error of two percentage points.

In the first round, Lula appears with 40% of voting intentions, against 31% for Flávio Bolsonaro. In the second round, the president has 47% and the PL senator, 43%.

Flávio's allies treated the four-point drop as a scratch and said the candidacy remains competitive. PT members expected a greater impact from the Dark Horse case on voting intentions.

人们在说什么

Initial reactions on X highlight Lula's lead in the Datafolha poll with a 9-point advantage, with pro-Lula users celebrating the results and mentioning Flávio's scandals; media accounts share the numbers neutrally while some posts detail full scenarios including second round and rejection rates.

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Brazilian President Lula at podium with Datafolha poll graph showing declining approval ratings ahead of 2026 elections.
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Datafolha poll shows drop in Lula government approval

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A Datafolha poll released on April 11, 2026, shows the negative evaluation of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's government steady at 40%, while positive ratings fell from 32% to 29%. Disapproval of Lula's performance rose to 51%, with approval at 45%. Conducted April 7-9, the survey signals a tight race ahead of the 2026 elections.

A Datafolha poll released on Saturday (16) shows that 39% of Brazilians rate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's government as bad or terrible. Another 30% consider the administration good or excellent and 29% classify it as regular. The figures remain stable compared with the April survey.

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A Datafolha poll shows that 58% of Brazilians turn to television and 54% to social media for political and election information. Habits differ by 2022 vote: Lula voters favor tv, while Bolsonaro supporters prefer digital platforms. The survey, conducted in March 2026, highlights variations in information consumption between groups.

The PT and leaders of Lula's government decided to intensify unified attacks against Flávio Bolsonaro. The strategy explores the senator's alleged ties to Banco Master.

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Supporters of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) sang a jingle criticizing the centrão at an event in Natal (RN) on Saturday (21). The senator's team repudiated the lyrics on Monday (23), stating they did not receive prior approval and disrespect important parties. The incident unfolds amid 'Zero Um's' pre-campaign for the 2026 presidency.

Publicist Eduardo Fischer, who resides in Punta del Este in Uruguay, has not yet confirmed his participation in Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's presidential campaign.

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Former Ceará governor Ciro Gomes stated on Saturday (April 25) at a PSDB event in São Paulo that he will decide by mid-May whether to run for Brazil's presidency or the Ceará governorship. He received an invitation from the party's national president, Aécio Neves, but said that if he had any sense, he would not run again. The statement follows a 'profound humiliation' in the 2022 election.

 

 

 

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