Illustration of Lula leading Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll with 40% to 31%.
Illustration of Lula leading Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll with 40% to 31%.
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Datafolha shows Lula at 40% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 31% in first round

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Datafolha survey released on Friday (22) points to an advantage for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva over Flávio Bolsonaro in the presidential race.

The survey polled 2,004 voters between May 20 and 21 and has a margin of error of two percentage points.

In the first round, Lula appears with 40% of voting intentions, against 31% for Flávio Bolsonaro. In the second round, the president has 47% and the PL senator, 43%.

Flávio's allies treated the four-point drop as a scratch and said the candidacy remains competitive. PT members expected a greater impact from the Dark Horse case on voting intentions.

Hvad folk siger

Initial reactions on X highlight Lula's lead in the Datafolha poll with a 9-point advantage, with pro-Lula users celebrating the results and mentioning Flávio's scandals; media accounts share the numbers neutrally while some posts detail full scenarios including second round and rejection rates.

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Illustration of Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll by 10 points, with split portraits and poll chart.
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Datafolha poll shows Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by ten points

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A new Datafolha poll released yesterday shows Lula's lead over Flávio Bolsonaro rising to ten percentage points in the first round. The survey comes amid revelations about Flávio's involvement with former banker Daniel Vorcaro of Banco Master.

A new Datafolha poll released on June 20 shows Lula's government negative rating steady at 38%, with 32% positive and 29% regular.

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A Datafolha poll released on April 11, 2026, shows the negative evaluation of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's government steady at 40%, while positive ratings fell from 32% to 29%. Disapproval of Lula's performance rose to 51%, with approval at 45%. Conducted April 7-9, the survey signals a tight race ahead of the 2026 elections.

The Superior Electoral Court postponed on Tuesday the analysis of the decision that suspended the release of an AtlasIntel poll on voting intentions for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. After the vote of President Kassio Nunes Marques, Minister Estela Aranha requested more time to review the case.

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro criticized President Lula during a live broadcast in Washington on Sunday. He claimed the president seeks political gains from US tariffs on Brazilian products.

President Lula criticized Senator Flávio Bolsonaro on Thursday for sending a document to the US government requesting tariffs be postponed until after Brazilian elections.

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