真正的反对派需为2028年选举做出关键选择

反对派在2028年总统选举前面临两条道路:玩政治游戏还是挑战体制本身。从涉及参议员Bam Aquino的近期事件出发,本文讨论了实用主义与激进变革之间的紧张关系。它强调了可能帮助克服王朝和寡头的选择。

2024年2月19日发表于Rappler的评论文章中,UP Law和UA&P Law教授John Molo审视了“真正反对派”在2028年选举前面临的挑战。从近期事件来看,两名与杜特尔特结盟的参议员被国际刑事法院(ICC)在针对前总统的法外处决(EJK)案件中列为间接共同实施者。他们的盟友为他们辩护,但参议员Bam Aquino称EJK案件“理想情况下”应在菲律宾审判的言论引发批评。支持者称其细致入微,是为了从包括铁杆杜特尔特支持者(DDS)在内的群体中保留选票的长期策略的一部分。nn这呼应了去年的一场类似危机,当时有报道称Aquino和参议员Francis Pangilinan将加入时任参议院议长Chiz Escudero领导的参议院多数派。虽然联盟是务实的,但它们与杜特尔特集团的关系复杂化了事态。对于2028年,提出了两条道路:第一条涉及结成联盟,即使是不愉快的联盟,以赢得选举并兑现承诺。这反映了传统政治,仅带来渐进变革,但可能延续庇护循环。nn第二条道路是挑战这个破碎的体系,而不是在其中玩游戏。尽管被资深人士斥为不切实际,但它旨在结束让数百万民众贫困化的马匹交易。美国例子如巴拉克·奥巴马和乔·拜登展示了实用主义,而对抗像杜特尔特这样的人物可能需要激进方法。在2016年和2022年连续失利后,必须吸取教训:更多实用主义还是更大胆量?反对派的基础,特别是赋权的青年,支持事业而非个人。

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