Mexico records highest FDI in 2025 despite quarterly outflow

Foreign direct investment in Mexico hit a record 40,871 million dollars in 2025, up 7.7 percent from revised 2024 figures. Yet the fourth quarter saw a negative flow of 5,026 million dollars, the first since records began. The Secretaría de Economía attributes this to dividend payments and financial operations, not investment cancellations.

In 2025, foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mexico totaled 40,871 million dollars preliminarily, a 10.8 percent rise from the original 2024 report but just 7.7 percent from updated figures. Some 68 percent of this FDI, or 27,649 million dollars, came from reinvestments by established foreign firms, signaling trust in the Mexican market.

New investments reached 7,377 million dollars, 132.8 percent higher than 2024's preliminary figure and 79.5 percent above the revised one. The Secretaría de Economía notes this momentum shows “Mexico's capacity to attract new capital that promotes the adoption of cutting-edge technologies and productivity growth in the national industry.” The remaining 14 percent, 5,844 million dollars, went to inter-company accounts.

By origin, the United States provided 39 percent, Spain 11 percent, and Canada 8 percent, accounting for nearly half of FDI under the T-MEC. Conversely, portfolio investment saw an outflow of 14,696 million dollars, the sixth straight year of negative flows.

Meanwhile, Mexican companies invested 9,074 million dollars abroad in 2025, up 65.5 percent annually. Of this, 4,894 million were new investments, 148 percent more than in 2024, while reinvestments dropped 30.8 percent to 4,727 million. Inter-company accounts brought in 547 million dollars.

Despite advantages like strategic location and T-MEC access to the U.S. market, Mexico's economic growth was lackluster in 2025 despite the FDI record. The challenge remains to stay attractive for foreign investment amid global uncertainties.

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Split-image illustration showing Mexico's booming FDI inflows contrasting with industrial stagnation and GDP decline.
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Mexico's economy shows contrasts with record FDI and stagnation

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Mexico recorded a record foreign direct investment of 40,906 million dollars in the first nine months of 2025, a 14.5% increase from 2024. However, GDP contracted 0.3% in the third quarter and the IGAE fell 0.6% in September, indicating economic stagnation. Analysts warn of fragility in the industrial sector and risks to employment.

Mexico recorded a historic inflow of 40,871 million dollars in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) during 2025, a 10.8 percent increase from the previous year. The Secretariat of Economy noted that this flow positions the country as a strategic destination for global productive capital, despite a 2 percent decline in developing economies. The growth was mainly driven by new investments that rose 133 percent.

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Mexico's Secretary of Economy, Marcelo Ebrard, announced that the country's investment portfolio has grown to 406.8 billion dollars, a historic record driven by new projects across the 32 states. At the First National Investment Promotion Meeting, businesswoman Altagracia Gómez emphasized the goal of reaching 25% of GDP in investments by 2026, as part of the Plan México.

Economist Gabriel Casillas forecasts a 2026 for Mexico with improved growth prospects, driven by the US economy and a light political agenda. He anticipates gradual fiscal consolidation and early inflationary challenges impacting interest rates. He also highlights the T-MEC review and minor local elections.

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根据2月18日公布的韩国央行数据,韩国人海外股票投资额较上年近三倍,2025年达到历史最高水平,相当于该国年度经常账户盈余规模。这一激增被认为是韩元疲软的关键因素。

The Bank of Mexico cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 7% in its monetary policy decision on December 18, 2025. This move aligns with expectations for inflation to converge to the 3% target in the third quarter of 2026, despite recent inflationary pressures. The cut supported a slight appreciation of the Mexican peso against the dollar.

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Mexico's informal economy reached its highest contribution to GDP in 2024, accounting for 25.4% of the total, according to preliminary INEGI data. This marks a 3.2 percentage point increase since 2020, underscoring the persistence of labor informality affecting 54.4% of the employed population.

 

 

 

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