Realistic illustration of poll results depicting Democrats' significant lead over Republicans in the generic congressional ballot, with voters observing a bar graph against the U.S. Capitol backdrop.
Realistic illustration of poll results depicting Democrats' significant lead over Republicans in the generic congressional ballot, with voters observing a bar graph against the U.S. Capitol backdrop.
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NPR/PBS/Marist poll shows Democrats open biggest generic-ballot lead since 2017

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An NPR/PBS News/Marist survey conducted Nov. 10–13, 2025, finds Democrats leading Republicans 55% to 41% on the generic congressional ballot — their largest edge in the series since 2017 — as President Donald Trump’s job approval falls to 39% and voters say lowering prices should be his top priority.

• The topline: Democrats hold a 14-point advantage on the question of which party voters would back for Congress if the election were held today (55% Democrat, 41% Republican), according to the NPR/PBS News/Marist poll of 1,443 U.S. adults (1,291 registered voters) fielded Nov. 10–13, 2025. Among independents, Democrats lead by 33 points (61%–28%). Marist and PBS both note it’s the largest Democratic lead in this poll since 2017; in the subsequent 2018 midterms, Democrats gained more than 40 House seats.

• Trump approval and priorities: The same Marist survey places Trump’s overall job approval at 39% (56% disapprove), the lowest in this series since shortly after Jan. 6, 2021, per NPR’s write‑up of the poll. Nearly half (48%) say they “strongly disapprove.” A 57% majority say the administration’s top priority should be lowering prices, far ahead of immigration (16%). Even among Republicans, a plurality (40%) name lowering prices first, with 34% citing immigration.

• Voter voices: In NPR’s reporting on the poll, Nicole Stokes of Dallas, a Trump voter, said, “I don’t think rent prices or food prices are at the forefront like they should be … it’s our pockets that are getting ripped apart to fund things.” Wayne Dowdy of Memphis, a self‑described “lapsed Democrat,” said, “I feel lost … The parties don’t speak to me anymore,” though he plans to back Democrats given the alternatives.

• Trust in institutions: Confidence remains low. Marist finds 80% have little to no confidence in Congress, 75% say the same about the media, and 61% about the presidency. Majorities in both parties describe the other as “dishonest” and “closed‑minded.”

• Latino voters: Separate polling of 800 Latino registered voters by Global Strategy Group for Somos Votantes (Nov. 4–12, 2025) — shared with Politico and summarized by Yahoo News — shows Trump’s personal favorability among Latinos 26 points underwater, down six points since September. His economic approval stands at 34%, 30 points underwater, down from 38% in May. Sixty‑four percent of Latino voters expressed extreme concern about rising costs; 45% blamed Republicans for those costs versus 24% who blamed Democrats. “Donald Trump promised to slash prices on day one … [but] he certainly hasn’t delivered,” Somos president Melissa Morales said, adding that Latinos are “looking for a positive economic vision.”

• Recent results: Politico’s analysis of the Nov. 2025 off‑year elections reported Democrats carried heavily Latino areas in New Jersey and Virginia, signaling potential rebound with that bloc. Republicans dispute that they are losing ground long‑term. “Republicans will continue to earn the support of Hispanic voters because we are working to deliver opportunity, security, and a better life,” said Christian Martinez, the NRCC’s national Hispanic press secretary, in comments carried by Politico and Yahoo.

• About the ‘foreign policy’ wrinkle: The Marist/NPR/PBS survey did not test Trump’s foreign‑policy approval specifically. On the same day the poll was published, CNN’s Harry Enten said on air (as summarized by outlets including the Daily Wire and Daily Caller) that Trump’s foreign‑policy approval was about 43%, higher than George W. Bush’s (36%) and Barack Obama’s (37%) at comparable points in their second terms. Those are different polls and questions from the Marist survey’s overall job‑approval measure, so they aren’t directly contradictory; they reflect different issue ratings versus overall approval.

Methodological notes: Marist interviewed by phone, text, and online; margins of error are ±3.0 points for all adults and ±3.1 points for registered voters. The Somos/GSG Latino poll (Nov. 4–12) surveyed 800 registered voters with a ±3.5‑point margin of error.

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Discussions on X about the NPR/PBS/Marist poll reflect enthusiasm among Democrats for the 55-41 generic ballot lead, the largest since 2017, amid Trump's 39% approval and voter focus on lowering prices. Independents favor Democrats by 33 points, signaling potential midterm challenges for Republicans. Skeptics dismiss the results as biased or an outlier, referencing past polling inaccuracies and conflicting surveys, while analysts see it as indicative of shifting voter sentiment on economic issues.

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Photorealistic illustration of a Marist poll graphic displaying Donald Trump's 37% job approval rating and 59% disapproval, with midterm election context.
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