Project Hail Mary opening projections climb to $77M+ amid early Oscar buzz for Gosling

Updated box office projections place Phil Lord and Chris Miller's Project Hail Mary, starring Ryan Gosling, on track for a $77 million-plus opening weekend, surpassing initial estimates of $71 million. Variety hails Gosling's performance alongside puppeteer James Ortiz's Rocky as Oscar-worthy, praising its emotional depth and spontaneity.

Following strong previews and initial projections of $71.1 million reported on March 20, Project Hail Mary—directed by Phil Lord and Chris Miller, starring Ryan Gosling, and adapted from Andy Weir's novel—is now forecasting a $77 million-plus opening weekend, per Hollywood Reporter estimates published March 21, 2026. This marks a major win for Amazon MGM Studios. Variety's same-day coverage elevates Gosling as 'the first name worth circling on any early Oscar ballot this year, thanks to #ProjectHailMary.' The review spotlights his chemistry with James Ortiz's Rocky—described as 'equal parts humorous, tense and genuinely moving'—which forms the film's emotional core and elicits Gosling's 'most spontaneous and effective acting moments.' Variety urges Amazon MGM to re-release the film in theaters come fall to refresh voter awareness. Sources consistently highlight the film's commercial strength and critical potential, with no conflicting reports.

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Realistic depiction of Super Mario Galaxy Movie theater marquee celebrating $629 million box office nearing $700 million, with crowds and galactic visuals.
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Super Mario Galaxy Movie nears $700 million worldwide

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Universal's Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossed $152.1 million worldwide in its second weekend, pushing its global cumulative total to $629 million. The animated sequel now stands as the highest-grossing MPA release of 2026, trailing only China's Pegasus 3. It is projected to reach $700 million next weekend.

Andy Weir's Project Hail Mary led Goodreads' most-read books in April with 147,000 readers. The sci-fi novel saw renewed interest from its movie adaptation starring Ryan Gosling, now in theaters. Other top spots went to romance, thriller, and romantasy titles.

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Building on last week's indie top 10 success with 'Faces of Death', 'Exit 8' and 'A Great Awakening', several independent films again posted strong earnings this weekend. A24's 'Mother Mary' led limited releases, while Neon titles 'Exit 8' and 'The Christophers' expanded successfully. Holdover 'A Great Awakening' stayed in the top 10 amid a robust specialty box office featuring new docs and indies.

Illumination, Nintendo and Universal's Super Mario Galaxy Movie is expected to gross $60 million to $70 million in its second weekend at the U.S. box office. The figure marks a 47% to 54% decline from its $131.7 million three-day opening. Featuring voices by Chris Pratt, Anya Taylor-Joy, Jack Black and Glen Powell, the film retains all its IMAX and premium large format screens.

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Director David Lowery enlisted choreographer Dani Vitale, cinematographer Rina Yang and costume designer Bina Daigeler to develop Anne Hathaway's character, Mother Mary, as a believable pop icon in the thriller now in select theaters. The team simulated a decade of artist development in six months, drawing from real stars like Taylor Swift and Lady Gaga. Hathaway trained rigorously to embody the goth-inspired diva.

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