Project Hail Mary opening projections climb to $77M+ amid early Oscar buzz for Gosling

Updated box office projections place Phil Lord and Chris Miller's Project Hail Mary, starring Ryan Gosling, on track for a $77 million-plus opening weekend, surpassing initial estimates of $71 million. Variety hails Gosling's performance alongside puppeteer James Ortiz's Rocky as Oscar-worthy, praising its emotional depth and spontaneity.

Following strong previews and initial projections of $71.1 million reported on March 20, Project Hail Mary—directed by Phil Lord and Chris Miller, starring Ryan Gosling, and adapted from Andy Weir's novel—is now forecasting a $77 million-plus opening weekend, per Hollywood Reporter estimates published March 21, 2026. This marks a major win for Amazon MGM Studios. Variety's same-day coverage elevates Gosling as 'the first name worth circling on any early Oscar ballot this year, thanks to #ProjectHailMary.' The review spotlights his chemistry with James Ortiz's Rocky—described as 'equal parts humorous, tense and genuinely moving'—which forms the film's emotional core and elicits Gosling's 'most spontaneous and effective acting moments.' Variety urges Amazon MGM to re-release the film in theaters come fall to refresh voter awareness. Sources consistently highlight the film's commercial strength and critical potential, with no conflicting reports.

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Realistic depiction of Super Mario Galaxy Movie theater marquee celebrating $629 million box office nearing $700 million, with crowds and galactic visuals.
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Super Mario Galaxy Movie nears $700 million worldwide

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Universal's Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossed $152.1 million worldwide in its second weekend, pushing its global cumulative total to $629 million. The animated sequel now stands as the highest-grossing MPA release of 2026, trailing only China's Pegasus 3. It is projected to reach $700 million next weekend.

Project Hail Mary has become Amazon MGM's highest-grossing film ever, crossing $300 million worldwide. The film earned $54.1 million from 86 markets over the weekend, topping the previous record holder Creed III. Directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, it stars Ryan Gosling in a space odyssey based on Andy Weir's novel.

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Amazon MGM Studios' Project Hail Mary grossed $53.1 million in its second weekend, surpassing the second-weekend hauls of Oppenheimer and Dune: Part Two. The Ryan Gosling-led film, directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, dropped just 34% from its opening after a Friday take of $14.6 million. New Line's They Will Kill You opened to a modest $5 million to $5.5 million.

Illumination, Nintendo and Universal's Super Mario Galaxy Movie is expected to gross $60 million to $70 million in its second weekend at the U.S. box office. The figure marks a 47% to 54% decline from its $131.7 million three-day opening. Featuring voices by Chris Pratt, Anya Taylor-Joy, Jack Black and Glen Powell, the film retains all its IMAX and premium large format screens.

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Director David Lowery enlisted choreographer Dani Vitale, cinematographer Rina Yang and costume designer Bina Daigeler to develop Anne Hathaway's character, Mother Mary, as a believable pop icon in the thriller now in select theaters. The team simulated a decade of artist development in six months, drawing from real stars like Taylor Swift and Lady Gaga. Hathaway trained rigorously to embody the goth-inspired diva.

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