Söder warns of AfD surge: the situation is much more serious

CSU leader Markus Söder has warned of a political tipping point. If the black-red coalition breaks, many citizens could try something radical and support the AfD.

Markus Söder spoke on Monday about current political developments in Germany. He stressed that the situation is more serious than often assumed.

The CSU chairman sees the risk that citizens could choose radical options if the coalition breaks.

Söder called for addressing the real problems in the country to counter such developments.

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News illustration of AfD leading Union by 5 points (27% vs 22%) in German polls, with Chancellor Merz at 15% approval.
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AfD leads Union by five points in latest poll

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The latest RTL/ntv Trendbarometer by Forsa shows the AfD at 27 percent, five points ahead of the Union at 22 percent. The Union records its worst result since December 2021. Approval for Chancellor Friedrich Merz has fallen to a low of 15 percent.

Reiner Haseloff, former Minister President of Saxony-Anhalt, attributed the AfD's strength to distrust in established parties in an interview with Süddeutsche Zeitung. He warned of the consequences of a potential AfD government after the state election on September 6. A coalition with the AfD is out of the question for the CDU, as it aims to destroy the party.

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German Chancellor Friedrich Merz emphasized the stability of his black-red coalition during an ARD interview with Caren Miosga on Sunday evening (May 3, 2026). He urged the SPD to show compromise and ruled out alternatives like tolerance by the AfD. Merz openly addressed discontent within the Union and the limits of his patience.

About 76 percent of respondents are dissatisfied with the work of the black-red federal government. An Insa poll for «Bild am Sonntag» also found that 58 percent do not believe the coalition will last until 2029. The AfD leads in the polls with 28 percent.

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Former Federal Finance Minister Peer Steinbrück proposes defining red lines for the AfD. He considers the firewall still necessary but is considering a long-term change in the party.

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