South African Reserve Bank Holds Rates Amid Inflation Risks

The South African Reserve Bank kept its repo rate steady at 7 percent on Thursday, though a divided Monetary Policy Committee vote and warnings of upside inflation risks signal possible future hikes.

The Monetary Policy Committee held the policy rate unchanged at 7 percent, leaving the prime lending rate at 10.5 percent. Four members voted to maintain the rate while two supported a 25 basis point increase.

The decision came against a backdrop of Middle East conflict. The committee statement noted that oil prices have rebounded to roughly 90 dollars a barrel and headline inflation is expected to stay above 4 percent until early next year.

Governor Lesetja Kganyago said more data on second-round effects such as wages would emerge before the next meeting in September. Citibank Chief Economist Gina Schoeman argued an immediate hike was needed to address inflation pressures from higher oil prices.

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Banco de la República board unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25% in meeting with Finance Minister amid inflation and political tensions.
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Banco de la República unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25%, defying hike expectations amid government tensions

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In its May 1, 2026 board meeting, Banco de la República unanimously kept the benchmark interest rate at 11.25%, surprising analysts expecting a hike to combat accelerating inflation. Finance Minister Germán Ávila participated fully, citing constructive dialogue, while board members justified the decision to maintain stability amid political pressures.

The Bank of Korea faces mounting pressure for monetary tightening after a spike in global oil prices triggered by Middle East conflict. Markets increasingly expect the benchmark rate to reach 3 percent by year-end.

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The Central Bank council agreed unanimously to hold the monetary policy rate at 4.5% in its June meeting.

Major banks have revised their forecasts for the Reserve Bank of India after recent softer inflation readings. Standard Chartered Bank has already dropped its call for an August rate increase. Most institutions now anticipate the central bank will stay on hold through FY27.

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Banco de la República general manager Leonardo Villar said monetary policy will keep rates high until inflation returns to the 2%-4% target range. The move followed the board's latest meeting.

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