Photorealistic scene of Sweden's frigid February cold snap under clear skies, with frozen lake, snowy forests, and a person checking low thermometer amid climate change implications.
Photorealistic scene of Sweden's frigid February cold snap under clear skies, with frozen lake, snowy forests, and a person checking low thermometer amid climate change implications.
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Unusual cold in Sweden may link to climate change

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Sweden is experiencing an unusually cold February due to a high-pressure system trapping cold air. Climate expert Martin Hedberg suggests a possible link to global warming altering weather patterns. Milder weather is now moving in, with temperatures potentially rising above freezing in some areas.

February 2026 has so far been unusually cold in Sweden. Snow warnings have followed one another in Skåne, people have been able to walk on Lake Mälaren in Stockholm, and temperatures in the north have been far below normal. Viktor Bergman, a meteorologist at SMHI, explains: "It is a high pressure that has kept cold air over the country, which has made us have this cold period. If it continues like this, it will be a very cold February."

Martin Hedberg, climate expert at Länsförsäkringar, describes the phenomenon as a blocking with long-term high pressure. In winter, it leads to cold, while in summer, as in 2018, it causes high temperatures. He links it to global warming: The Arctic is warming faster than the equator, affecting the jet stream and global air flows. "Climate changes mean not only that it is warmer on average – but also that weather patterns change. It can mean that periods of high and low pressure last longer," says Hedberg, but adds that more research is needed.

Similar cold has been noted in eastern USA and northern Europe. Despite the current cold, November and December 2025 were very mild, with an extremely warm December according to Bergman. The recent years have been record warm globally: 2024 was the warmest year with 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels, closely followed by 2025 and 2023.

After the cold snap, the weather is now turning. Milder air is moving in over the country and the temperature can rise above freezing in some places, according to Dagens Nyheter.

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X discussions on Sweden's unusual cold February largely express skepticism toward links to climate change, mocking experts like Martin Hedberg, climate predictions of snowless winters, and green energy policies; some distinguish short-term weather from long-term trends.

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Illustration of southern Sweden's countryside transitioning to milder, rainy weather with slippery roads after cold spell.
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Milder weather approaching southern Sweden

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After a long cold spell, warmer temperatures and precipitation are expected in southern Sweden over the weekend. SMHI warns of risks such as slippery roads and frostbite in the north. Meteorologists note a shift from high pressure to low pressure.

An unusually long high-pressure blocking is keeping the cold in place across Sweden for the coming week. Temperatures are expected to be very low, and warm clothing is advised. The phenomenon is described as a 'dome' holding the heat out.

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Following its arrival in southern Sweden last week, meteorological spring has now reached most of Uppsala county, with temperatures up to 10 degrees expected on Thursday according to SMHI. Spring is confirmed except along the Uppland coast, where winter lingers. Meteorologist Marcus Sjöstedt notes the unusually quick shift required seven consecutive days of above-zero average temperatures after February 15.

At 7 PM on Sunday, a national ice day passed in Sweden, the first in two years. This means temperatures stayed below zero degrees at all weather stations for a full day. The phenomenon is becoming rarer due to milder winters.

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Following an exceptionally sun-poor start to December 2025—previously reported as less than five hours of sun in many areas up to mid-month—this year ranks among Sweden's darkest in 15 years. Relief is coming: sunny weather is expected across much of the country by the weekend, coinciding with the winter solstice on Sunday when days begin to lengthen.

Following SMHI's earlier warnings, sudden ice has now caused major transport chaos in Västerbotten on Wednesday, with over 30 bus trips canceled, flights grounded, and multiple accidents including one injury. Disruptions are expected to persist through Friday.

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The Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) has issued yellow warnings for sudden icy conditions in parts of Norrbotten and Västerbotten on Monday. The warnings are due to rain freezing on cold surfaces. There is a risk of traffic disruptions, and caution is advised.

 

 

 

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