Kenyan shilling ranks among world's most stable currencies

The Kenyan shilling has been ranked by Bloomberg data among the top five most stable currencies globally, with volatility of just 1.5 percent over the past year. This ranking reinforces confidence in the country's economic management efforts. Central Bank of Kenya Governor Kamau Thugge attributes the stability to improvements in the nation's external financial position.

According to Bloomberg data, the Kenyan shilling has maintained steady performance against the US dollar for more than a year, recording a volatility rate of just 1.5 percent. This positions it among the least volatile currencies worldwide, outperforming several major ones. In the top five for volatility, the Argentine peso ranked highest at 22.4 percent, followed by the Israeli shekel at 11.8 percent and the South African rand at 10.8 percent. The Indian rupee had 4.8 percent volatility, while the Kenyan shilling stood at 1.5 percent. Only the Hong Kong dollar showed lower volatility at 0.9 percent compared to other global currencies.

Currency volatility refers to the frequency and magnitude of fluctuations in a currency over a specific period, serving as an indicator of market risk, fear, and uncertainty. Lower volatility typically signals a more stable currency, which attracts investors, importers, exporters, and businesses engaged in long-term transactions.

A stable currency can help reduce import costs, lower inflation rates, and boost investor confidence. For businesses, it offers predictability in pricing and planning. Central Bank of Kenya Governor Kamau Thugge recently stated that the local unit's stability stems from improvements in the country's external financial position. He noted that Kenya's current account balance has performed relatively well, supported by increased foreign direct investment and higher foreign participation in local-currency government bonds.

Additionally, improved diaspora remittances and stronger export earnings have bolstered the country's foreign exchange reserves, enabling the central bank to better shield the currency from external shocks. Over the past year, the shilling has hovered between Ksh128 and Ksh130 per US dollar since August 2024, when the Central Bank began cutting interest rates.

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Kenya's Central Bank Governor Kamau Thugge has attributed the Kenyan shilling's 18-month stability against the US dollar to strong foreign exchange reserves and other factors. The currency has traded between 128 and 130 shillings per dollar during this period. This marks a significant turnaround from its 21% crash in 2023.

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According to S&P Global Ratings, Kenya is among African countries facing debt pressures that could weaken local currencies. External debt repayments across the continent are set to exceed USD 90 billion in 2026. This surge may intensify pressure on the Kenyan shilling, currently trading at around Ksh129 per US dollar.

Credit rating agency Fitch has affirmed Kenya's sovereign credit rating at 'B-' with a stable outlook, citing consistent debt repayments and growing foreign reserves. However, the agency warns of persistent revenue shortfalls and high external debt servicing needs.

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The Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) has issued a warning against using Kenyan shilling banknotes for decorative purposes such as cash bouquets, stating that it violates the law and causes issues with cash-handling machines. The alert was released on Monday, February 2, 2026, just before Valentine's Day. CBK emphasizes that cash can be given as a gift but without damaging or altering the notes.

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