Renan Filho bets on works in Alagoas gubernatorial race

The race for the government of Alagoas enters a decisive phase with deadlines until April 3 for party affiliation and incompatibility. Minister Renan Filho (MDB) is betting on deliveries from the MDB cycle started in 2015, while Mayor JHC (PL) faces Bolsonarist pressure to align with Flávio Bolsonaro. A recent poll shows JHC leading with 47.6% against 40.9% for Renan Filho.

The contest for the government of Alagoas is taking on decisive contours as the April 3 deadline approaches for party affiliation and incompatibility for those intending to run for other positions. Renan Filho, Transportes Minister for the MDB and former state governor from 2015 to 2022 — during which he was elected senator —, positions himself as a candidate for the Palácio República dos Palmares, betting on the achievements of the MDB cycle he initiated.

Among the main banners, health investments stand out, such as the construction of the hospitals in Palmeira dos Índios, Coração Alagoano — a reference for cardiac transplants via SUS — and Hospital Metropolitano do Agreste in Arapiraca. Renan Filho has the support of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who even considered the minister as his running mate for the presidential ticket to draw the MDB into the alliance. The candidate is also close to Senator Renan Calheiros (MDB), his father and a congressional ally.

His potential main rival is Maceió Mayor João Henrique Caldas, known as JHC (PL). The central issue for JHC is whether he will draw closer to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the PL's presidential candidate and Lula's rival. Although it is not confirmed that JHC will run, Bolsonarism is expected to pressure him in the coming days. Disclosed notes from Flávio Bolsonaro state: “Talk until March 15” next to JHC's name. As an alternative, Deputy Alfredo Gaspar (União), rapporteur of the CPMI do INSS, is noted with: “the only one who will ask for votes for me”.

A December 2024 poll by Paraná Pesquisas shows JHC with 47.6% voting intentions against 40.9% for Renan Filho, with a 2.2 percentage point margin of error.

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at podium with father Jair Bolsonaro's support, announced as 2026 presidential candidate; inset of Javier Milei endorsing.
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Flávio Bolsonaro chosen as presidential candidate for 2026

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) announced on Friday (5) that he was chosen by his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, as the presidential candidate in 2026. The decision strengthens the family's influence in the Bolsonarista camp and draws reactions from the PT, which sees benefits for Lula. On Saturday (6), Argentine President Javier Milei expressed support for the pre-candidacy.

Jair Renan, youngest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, marked one year as a councilor in Balneário Camboriú, Santa Catarina, attending 90% of sessions but rarely engaging in debates. His speeches echoed bolsonarista rhetoric, including opposition to child vaccination mandates and support for national symbols. Clashes arose with peers over democracy and military dictatorship issues.

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Governor Cláudio Castro's plans to run for the Senate and the removal of Alerj president Rodrigo Bacellar bring Rio de Janeiro closer to an unprecedented indirect election for an interim governor in 2026. The situation pits Castro's interests against those of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, a pre-candidate for the presidency. The strategy decision is expected by February.

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro stated he will only withdraw his pre-candidacy for the 2026 presidency if former President Jair Bolsonaro is released and can run in the elections. In an interview with Record, he described the 'price' as justice for his father and supporters, while praising the positive reaction from Governor Tarcísio de Freitas to the news. The statement comes amid polls showing low initial support for his candidacy.

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ), a declared presidential candidate for 2026, posted a video on Saturday (17) urging unity among right-wing leaders following recent public spats. He praised former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, along with other allied governors. Flávio emphasized the need for a shared focus against the Lula government, without internal attacks.

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