Britain projected to face demographic milestones in 2026

Projections indicate that Britain will reach three significant demographic thresholds in 2026, including deaths surpassing births for the first time in modern history. A third of conceived babies are expected to be aborted that year, with the total abortions since 1968 roughly matching the current migrant population. These trends highlight challenges in population sustainability and reliance on immigration.

In 2026, Britain is forecasted to encounter pivotal demographic shifts, according to analysis by commentator Lois McLatchie Miller. The first milestone involves the number of deaths exceeding births, marking a historic low in natural population growth. This comes alongside an estimated one-third of all conceived babies being aborted, contributing to a long-term decline in the native population.

Since the legalization of abortion in 1968, approximately 10.7 million procedures have occurred, a figure that closely aligns with the current migrant population of 10.9 million. Miller argues that high abortion rates have created a 'demographic vacuum' filled by immigration, posing implications for workforce, military recruitment, and social services funding. She notes that without sufficient domestic population growth, the nation must 'import' its future, though this approach raises national security concerns due to strained border controls allowing undetected criminal elements.

Recent parliamentary actions have intensified the debate. Members of Parliament voted to decriminalize abortion up to birth, a move Miller describes as exacerbating the issue. Politicians, particularly on the right, criticize mass migration but rarely address abortion's role in necessitating it.

Beyond economics, Miller points to personal and societal costs. She cites evidence from "pro-choice" psychology professor David Fergusson, who found that women undergoing abortions face higher risks of anxiety, suicidal ideation, and substance abuse. Broader factors, such as tax policies penalizing marriage and inadequate maternity support, discourage family formation, while cultural views portray children as burdensome.

These developments frame abortion not just as an ethical concern but as a matter of national survival, with Miller warning that aborting a third of future generations threatens societal integrity. She urges reflection on policies supporting family life to avert decline.

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Protesters outside Scottish Parliament clash over abortion review proposing decriminalisation and expanded access.
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Scottish abortion review urges decriminalisation and wider access, including later-term cases

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A Scottish Government-commissioned review has recommended decriminalising abortion and allowing terminations on request up to 24 weeks’ gestation, with scope for later abortions in certain cases based on a woman’s psychological and social circumstances. The proposals, which include widening who can authorise abortions beyond doctors, have drawn strong criticism from opponents who say they would create some of the most permissive abortion laws in Europe.

The number of babies born in South Korea rose at the fastest pace in 18 years in the first 11 months of 2025, driven largely by an increase in marriages. Government data shows the total for 2025 is expected to surpass the 238,317 recorded in 2024. Government policies supporting childbirth and the growing population of women in their early 30s also contributed.

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Egypt has seen a sustained drop in births from 2018 to 2025, based on Ministry of Health data. This trend highlights the effects of family planning and reproductive health initiatives, even as caesarean section rates hover around 80% of all deliveries. The country's population grew by about 1.34 million people in 2025.

A growing minority of Republicans and pro-life activists are pushing to criminalize abortion, including for women, in response to self-managed abortions after Roe v. Wade's overturn. This stance has sparked divisions within the pro-life movement, with traditional groups opposing it as counterproductive. Bills have been introduced in multiple states, but none have advanced significantly.

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New population estimates suggest that Democratic-leaning states will lose Electoral College votes after the 2030 Census, while Republican-leaning states gain ground. Experts project significant shifts in House seats that could reshape the 2032 presidential battleground. Although trends favor Republicans, both parties note that much can change in the coming years.

American Christian nationalism is influencing young people in Sweden, prompting calls for religious leaders to counter it. In the 1960s and 1970s, US churches supported abortion rights to prevent dangerous illegal procedures. Today, there is concern over the spread of conservative US views.

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The number of households consisting of a single person aged 65 or older in Japan has surged to 8.15 million in 2025. An expert panel from the Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry proposed in December a new system to support the livelihoods of these elderly individuals and handle post-death procedures. The system would cover funerals and identity verification for hospital admissions, with low or no cost options for those in financial hardship.

 

 

 

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