Japanese Companies Assess Delayed Impact of China's Rare Earth Curbs

As part of ongoing China-Japan tensions over Taiwan, including Beijing's recent ban on dual-use exports like rare earths, Japanese firms are evaluating supply chain effects, which are not expected until next month at the earliest.

Following China's export prohibition last week on over 800 dual-use items to potential Japanese military end-users—a move linked to Taiwan disputes—companies are gauging repercussions from the rare earth inclusions, per a person familiar. Effects are unlikely before next month. These curbs build on tighter controls since April 2025 amid U.S. trade frictions. State media China Daily reports Beijing considering stricter export license reviews for medium and heavy rare earth products to Japan. Essential for electronics and autos, rare earths prompt supply chain worries, though immediate disruptions are contained. This highlights deepening economic strains, complementing Japan's diplomatic responses like South Korea outreach and G7 coordination.

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Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama announces G7 pushback against China's rare earth export restrictions at Washington meeting.
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Japan plans G7 pushback against China's rare earth export curbs

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Following China's ban on dual-use exports to Japan's military, a Wall Street Journal report revealed broader restrictions on rare earths to Japanese firms. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama condemned the moves and said Japan will outline its stance at next week's G7 finance ministers' meeting in Washington.

According to the Wall Street Journal, China has begun restricting exports of rare earths and powerful magnets to Japanese companies following a ban on dual-use items to Japan's military. China's commerce ministry insists the ban affects only military firms, but the curbs may extend across industries. This development comes amid strained Beijing-Tokyo ties over Taiwan.

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Following China's January 6 ban on dual-use exports to Japan—retaliation for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Taiwan remarks—South Korea's industries face risks from interconnected supply chains. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources held an emergency meeting on January 8 to evaluate impacts and pledged safeguards against shortages.

Building on plans for next week's G7 finance ministers' meeting, Japan is pursuing broader diplomatic outreach. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama heads to the US starting Sunday for critical minerals talks, Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi meets his US counterpart Thursday, and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will summit with South Korea's Lee Jae-myung next week.

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Chinese semiconductor industry experts and executives express confidence in handling potential Japanese restrictions on photoresist exports to China, highlighting domestic alternatives and supply chain diversification. No production disruptions have been reported so far.

Around 50 government officials, researchers, and others from Japan and India gathered in New Delhi for a meeting to discuss promoting economic security cooperation between the two countries. Participants confirmed the importance of establishing supply chains spanning both nations for strategic materials like semiconductors and rare earth minerals. Both countries face the shared challenge of diversifying supply chains amid China's export restrictions on rare earths and the protectionist high-tariff policies of U.S. President Donald Trump's administration.

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Geopolitical tensions leading to Beijing's travel advisories caused a sharp drop in duty-free sales at major Japanese department stores in December. This decline underscores Japan's vulnerability to shifts in Chinese tourism, a vital engine for economic recovery.

 

 

 

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