Marcos Jr. can survive ouster calls and negative ratings

In a shifting political landscape, President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. faces attempts to destabilize his administration, but structural changes make removal unlikely without constitutional processes. Economic stability and institutional reforms have neutralized traditional paths to ouster like military intervention or mass protests. Impeachment remains the only viable mechanism, though it faces significant hurdles in the current Congress.

The political environment in the Philippines has evolved, making it difficult for President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. to be removed from office amid ouster calls and declining approval ratings. Traditional methods such as military adventurism or people power revolutions no longer hold decisive power. The Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) has become more professionalized, with incentives tied to institutional stability rather than personal loyalties. As the column notes, 'Military loyalty is not personal — it is institutional.'

Economic factors further bolster this resilience. Inflation dropped to 1.7% in 2025, providing relief to households through cheaper essentials like rice and transport. The country's BBB+ Positive sovereign credit rating underscores progress toward upper-middle-income status, where any disruption could trigger capital flight and economic downturns. The ₱6.793-trillion 2026 General Appropriations Act (GAA) allocates record funds to education, agriculture, health, and infrastructure, emphasizing continuity over chaos.

Attempts to destabilize the administration, linked to groups within the Duterte circle, aim to cover up scandals, including ₱79 billion in suspected flood-control plunder. However, public inertia and atomized mobilization—fueled by disinformation and economic precarity—prevent widespread unrest. Polls show paradoxes, with Vice President Sara Duterte maintaining support despite allegations, reflecting strongman mythology.

Impeachment, requiring evidence and congressional approval, is the sole constitutional path but is 'next to impossible' given the current Congress's composition. The analysis stresses that stability serves as the platform for pursuing justice, warning against short-circuiting accountability into regime change. As stated, 'The country does not need another political collapse engineered by actors who thrive under impunity.' This setup demands reforms through law, not spectacle, to address corruption without risking economic gains.

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President Marcos Jr. announces cabinet changes amid flood corruption scandal, with dramatic visuals of floods and headlines.
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Marcos cabinet shake-up amid flood control scandal

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President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. underwent a major cabinet shake-up last week amid a corruption scandal involving flood control projects. Officials like Lucas Bersamin and Amenah Pangandaman were forced to resign or were fired, as political tensions escalate with drug allegations against the Marcos family. These developments highlight a deepening crisis challenging his leadership.

Rumors are growing of potential impeachment proceedings against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. or Vice President Sara Duterte, but such complaints face significant hurdles due to legal constraints and political realities. Officials say there are no grounds for impeaching Marcos, and the Supreme Court's recent ruling has altered the process.

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Progressive groups filed a second impeachment complaint against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. with the House of Representatives on January 22, 2026, but claimed the chamber refused to accept it. Endorsed by the Makabayan bloc, it accuses him of betrayal of public trust. Petitioners left a copy at the secretary general's office.

Unlike complaints against Vice President Sara Duterte, the impeachment complaint against President Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. was sent to the House speaker's office just two days after filing. House Secretary General Cheloy Velicaria-Garafil confirmed this on January 21. The swift transmission raises questions about whether it benefits the president against future complaints.

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Vice President Sara Duterte has again secured higher approval and trust ratings than President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., according to Pulse Asia's fourth quarter survey in December 2025. The ratings for both leaders remained largely unchanged from the previous quarter, though Marcos saw a slight rise in disapproval.

Stalwarts of the Lakas-CMD, the country's dominant political party, have pledged full support to President Marcos' administration amid corruption allegations in flood control projects and national budget preparation. Malacañang assured that the P6.793-trillion 2026 budget remains on track for approval. Business groups welcomed the Cabinet changes to bolster investor confidence.

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A YouTube video has spread a false claim that President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. is resigning, based on a clipped soundbite from a Presidential Communications Office podcast. However, this is untrue, as Marcos was only discussing the continuity of reforms after his term. No official statement on resignation has come from Malacañang.

 

 

 

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