Marcos Jr. can survive ouster calls and negative ratings

In a shifting political landscape, President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. faces attempts to destabilize his administration, but structural changes make removal unlikely without constitutional processes. Economic stability and institutional reforms have neutralized traditional paths to ouster like military intervention or mass protests. Impeachment remains the only viable mechanism, though it faces significant hurdles in the current Congress.

The political environment in the Philippines has evolved, making it difficult for President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. to be removed from office amid ouster calls and declining approval ratings. Traditional methods such as military adventurism or people power revolutions no longer hold decisive power. The Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) has become more professionalized, with incentives tied to institutional stability rather than personal loyalties. As the column notes, 'Military loyalty is not personal — it is institutional.'

Economic factors further bolster this resilience. Inflation dropped to 1.7% in 2025, providing relief to households through cheaper essentials like rice and transport. The country's BBB+ Positive sovereign credit rating underscores progress toward upper-middle-income status, where any disruption could trigger capital flight and economic downturns. The ₱6.793-trillion 2026 General Appropriations Act (GAA) allocates record funds to education, agriculture, health, and infrastructure, emphasizing continuity over chaos.

Attempts to destabilize the administration, linked to groups within the Duterte circle, aim to cover up scandals, including ₱79 billion in suspected flood-control plunder. However, public inertia and atomized mobilization—fueled by disinformation and economic precarity—prevent widespread unrest. Polls show paradoxes, with Vice President Sara Duterte maintaining support despite allegations, reflecting strongman mythology.

Impeachment, requiring evidence and congressional approval, is the sole constitutional path but is 'next to impossible' given the current Congress's composition. The analysis stresses that stability serves as the platform for pursuing justice, warning against short-circuiting accountability into regime change. As stated, 'The country does not need another political collapse engineered by actors who thrive under impunity.' This setup demands reforms through law, not spectacle, to address corruption without risking economic gains.

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Präsident Ferdinand Marcos Jr. erlebte letzte Woche eine große Kabinettsumstrukturierung inmitten eines Korruptionsskandals um Hochwasserschutzprojekte. Beamte wie Lucas Bersamin und Amenah Pangandaman wurden zum Rücktritt gezwungen oder entlassen, während politische Spannungen durch Drogenvorwürfe gegen die Marcos-Familie eskalieren. Diese Entwicklungen unterstreichen eine sich vertiefende Krise, die seine Führung herausfordert.

Rumors are growing of potential impeachment proceedings against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. or Vice President Sara Duterte, but such complaints face significant hurdles due to legal constraints and political realities. Officials say there are no grounds for impeaching Marcos, and the Supreme Court's recent ruling has altered the process.

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Progressive groups filed a second impeachment complaint against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. with the House of Representatives on January 22, 2026, but claimed the chamber refused to accept it. Endorsed by the Makabayan bloc, it accuses him of betrayal of public trust. Petitioners left a copy at the secretary general's office.

Anti-corruption advocates attempted to file a second impeachment complaint against President Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. on January 22 over alleged betrayal of public trust, but the House Office of the Secretary General refused it because Secretary General Cheloy Garafil was unavailable.

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Vice President Sara Duterte's camp frames her impeachment proceedings as a political distraction from the escalating energy crisis, while House lawmakers assert they can address both accountability and economic challenges.

President Marcos is closely monitoring the relief of an Army colonel who allegedly withdrew support for his administration, Malacañang said. Col. Audie Mongao was removed after a social media post criticizing the president. The military has begun an investigation into possible charges against him.

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The House committee on justice will resume deliberations today on the junked impeachment complaints against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., paving the way for a committee report to be voted on in plenary session.

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