Private credit market risks worry insurer investors

Investors are increasingly avoiding insurers with heavy private credit exposure, according to a Berenberg private bank study. Stock prices have fallen since the Iran conflict outbreak. Regulators warn of insufficient risk understanding.

Regulators have warned of inadequate risk understanding among some insurers regarding the private credit market. Nevertheless, the companies are likely to expand their investments there, even as it pressures share prices, per a Berenberg study. Since the Iran conflict outbreak, investors have shifted away from insurers with significant private credit risks in their portfolios, favoring those with negligible exposure. British motor insurers like Admiral, Nordic insurers, and reinsurers benefited, while major players [unnamed] lost favor. “The market is concerned about potential default risk,” said Berenberg analyst Michael Huttner. The market for non-bank corporate loans has grown strongly, especially in the US, attracting German and European insurers. Higher complexity and illiquidity yield attractive returns, explained Christian Badorff of Moody’s. The study reflects this in share price trends.

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Illustration depicting Indian corporate executives preferring bank loans over bonds in a Mumbai office amid rising yields.
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Corporate borrowers favor bank loans over bonds amid rising yields

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Corporate borrowers in India are increasingly opting for bank loans instead of bond issuances. Rising capital market yields have eroded the cost advantage of bonds. Spreads between bank lending rates and bond yields have compressed significantly, especially for higher-rated entities.

Global financial markets reacted on Monday to renewed surges in oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continuing the economic ripple effects first seen after the Iran conflict and Hormuz blockade earlier this year.

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A new report from Pax and Ican shows the number of financial institutions investing in the nuclear weapons industry has risen 15 percent to 301. Stock and fund investments now total over 709 billion dollars. “This is the most dangerous time in my life regarding nuclear weapons,” says ICAN program director Susi Snyder.

Investor interest in unlisted shares has declined sharply, pushing trading volumes down by as much as 70 percent. Lower prices and fewer new offerings have contributed to the slowdown. Activity remains steady for some popular companies, though demand has weakened in certain sectors.

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Foreign portfolio investors have reduced cash market selling in Indian stocks but continue to show caution through derivatives positions. The moves come amid a modest gain in the Nifty index.

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