Private credit market risks worry insurer investors

Investors are increasingly avoiding insurers with heavy private credit exposure, according to a Berenberg private bank study. Stock prices have fallen since the Iran conflict outbreak. Regulators warn of insufficient risk understanding.

Regulators have warned of inadequate risk understanding among some insurers regarding the private credit market. Nevertheless, the companies are likely to expand their investments there, even as it pressures share prices, per a Berenberg study. Since the Iran conflict outbreak, investors have shifted away from insurers with significant private credit risks in their portfolios, favoring those with negligible exposure. British motor insurers like Admiral, Nordic insurers, and reinsurers benefited, while major players [unnamed] lost favor. “The market is concerned about potential default risk,” said Berenberg analyst Michael Huttner. The market for non-bank corporate loans has grown strongly, especially in the US, attracting German and European insurers. Higher complexity and illiquidity yield attractive returns, explained Christian Badorff of Moody’s. The study reflects this in share price trends.

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Illustration of Middle East tensions causing stock market drops, oil price spikes, and investor flight to US dollar.
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Middle East conflict fuels global market volatility and oil price surge

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Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, involving the US, Israel, and Iran, have triggered a slide in Asian shares and a surge in oil prices. Investors are turning to the US dollar for safety amid fears of prolonged energy cost increases and inflation. While emerging markets face short-term losses, experts see long-term resilience.

India's private credit market is projected to stay resilient despite turmoil in global counterparts. This stability stems from strong local regulations and a focus on domestic investors. Unique fund structures help avoid common international risks.

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금융감독원이 중동 지역 긴장 고조로 호르무즈 해협 인근 선박 공격이 이어지자 국내 비인명 보험사들의 전쟁 위험 보호 여부를 점검하고 있다. 미국과 이스라엘의 이란 공습 이후 이란이 보복으로 선박을 공격하면서 보험사들의 재보험 계약이 충분한지 확인 중이다. 주요 보험사들은 대부분 전쟁 위험 조항이 포함된 재보험을 확보했다고 한다.

Most French banks are raising their mortgage rates for April amid uncertainty from the war in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. French 10-year state bond yields hit nearly 3.90% on Friday, a level unseen since 2009. Philippe Crevel of the Cercle de l’Épargne highlights the close link between these yields and home loan rates.

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Following US-Israeli strikes on Iran—detailed in prior coverage—that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and escalated Middle East tensions with oil and gold surges, Indonesian businesses are implementing short-term risk mitigations amid rising costs, while Bank Indonesia monitors inflation risks.

India's Sensex and Nifty continued to decline on March 5 amid persistent uncertainties from the Iran conflict, surging crude prices, and fears of escalation, compounding the sharp initial drop earlier in the week. Retail investors saw mutual fund and stock portfolios turn negative, prompting advice on navigating wartime volatility.

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Asian stock markets opened in the red on Wednesday due to the US-Iran conflict, with South Korea experiencing a historic plunge in its Kospi index. Positive US employment data boosted gains in Wall Street and the Mexican Stock Exchange. President Claudia Sheinbaum assured that Mexico is working to prevent fuel price increases.

 

 

 

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