Project Hail Mary tracking update: $100M global opening projected

Updated projections show Amazon MGM Studios' Project Hail Mary, starring Ryan Gosling, set for over $100 million globally this weekend, up significantly from earlier $50 million North American estimates. The sci-fi adaptation opens in over 4,000 North American theaters amid strong reviews (95% critics, 98% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and massive trailer buzz, while Searchlight's Ready or Not 2 eyes $14 million worldwide.

Projections for Project Hail Mary have surged from the $50 million North American opening estimated last month to over $60 million domestically and $100 million globally across 82 territories, with 90% from overseas markets including the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Mexico, Brazil, Australia, Korea, Japan, and China (handled by Sony). Geopolitical concerns may impact the Middle East. Directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller from Andy Weir's novel, the $190 million net production (Lord, Miller, Amy Pascal, Rachel O’Connor, Aditya Sood, Weir, Gosling) features premium formats like IMAX, PLFs, and D-Box.

Fresh off a 95% certified fresh critics score and 98% audience score, early previews in 29 70MM locations sold out, bolstered by Prime Early Access IMAX/PLF screenings. Promotional momentum kicked off at CinemaCon in April, peaked at San Diego Comic-Con in July with a trailer amassing over 400 million views—the biggest for a non-franchise/non-sequel—propelling Weir's book back onto New York Times and Audible bestseller lists. This positions it as Amazon MGM's potential largest domestic/global opener, topping Creed III's $58.3 million in 2023. Comps include The Martian's $54.3 million domestic start and Interstellar's $681 million worldwide.

Meanwhile, Searchlight's Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (74% on Rotten Tomatoes, below the original's 89%) projects $11 million domestic from 3,000 theaters and $3 million overseas for $14 million total. Starring Samara Weaving, Sarah Michelle Gellar, Elijah Wood, and Kathryn Newton, the sequel follows the 2019 hit that opened to $8 million and grossed $57.6 million globally off $6 million.

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Dynamic illustration of Project Hail Mary film's record $140.9 million global opening, featuring Ryan Gosling poster, cheering crowds at a packed theater, and nods to directors and Meryl Streep cameo.
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Project Hail Mary debuts to $140.9 million globally

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Ryan Gosling-starring sci-fi film Project Hail Mary opened to $140.9 million worldwide, including $80.5 million in North America and $60.4 million internationally from 82 markets. The debut marks Amazon MGM Studios' biggest opening and the largest for a non-franchise film this year. Directors Phil Lord and Chris Miller revealed a surprise uncredited voice cameo by Meryl Streep.

Amazon MGM Studios' Project Hail Mary is tracking for a strong $50 million debut in North America when it opens on March 20. The sci-fi film starring Ryan Gosling also competes with Searchlight's Ready or Not 2, projected at $11 million. Both films arrive during a peak spring break weekend.

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Updated box office projections place Phil Lord and Chris Miller's Project Hail Mary, starring Ryan Gosling, on track for a $77 million-plus opening weekend, surpassing initial estimates of $71 million. Variety hails Gosling's performance alongside puppeteer James Ortiz's Rocky as Oscar-worthy, praising its emotional depth and spontaneity.

Amazon MGM Studios' dystopian thriller 'Mercy,' starring Chris Pratt, is projected to top the domestic box office with $12.6 million over the weekend, unseating 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' after five weeks at number one. A massive winter storm from Texas to New England has forced numerous theater closures, contributing to the lowest-grossing weekend of 2026 so far at $58.4 million. The storm's impact includes shutdowns at major chains like AMC, Cinemark, and Regal.

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Walt Disney Studios has shifted the release date for the horror sequel 'Ready or Not 2: Here I Come' forward by one week to March 20, 2026. The move signals strong confidence from Searchlight Pictures following the film's world premiere at SXSW. The film stars Samara Weaving reprising her role alongside Kathryn Newton and a notable ensemble cast.

The psychological thriller The Housemaid, starring Sydney Sweeney and Amanda Seyfried, has reached $200 million in worldwide ticket sales after four weeks in theaters. Produced by Lionsgate for $35 million, the film opened modestly but gained momentum through strong word-of-mouth. A sequel based on the next book in the trilogy is already in development.

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Emerald Fennell's adaptation of Emily Brontë's Wuthering Heights is forecasted to open strongly with $50 million to $55 million in North America over the President's Day weekend. The film, starring Margot Robbie and Jacob Elordi, is expected to outperform competitors including the animated GOAT and the thriller Crime 101. Warner Bros. production carries an $80 million budget and features brand collaborations for merchandise.

 

 

 

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